Match Info

COUNTER-STRIKE: PGL Astana

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Aurora		Heroic

	1	2
	1.45	2.8	Watch
	1.46	2.68
	1.4	2.7
	1.51	2.69	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)	2.71 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
65.2%

Heroic
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Heroic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heroic than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aurora might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Aurora - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.85%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora CS
eSports
15.04.26	B8 - Aurora	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	MOUZ - Aurora	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Aurora - HOTU	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Team Vitality - Aurora	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Aurora - The MongolZ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLW
- Heroic CS
eSports
25.04.26	Heroic - Monte	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	BIG - Heroic	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Heroic - BetBoom Team	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Ninjas in Pyjamas - Heroic	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Team Nemesis - Heroic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

eSports
28.10.25	Aurora - Heroic	0:2
22.08.25	Heroic - Aurora	0:2
10.08.25	Heroic - Aurora	0:2
19.05.25	Aurora - Heroic	1:2
29.10.23	Heroic - Aurora	1:2
25.10.23	Heroic - Aurora	2:1

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