Match Info

COUNTER-STRIKE: PGL Astana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	MOUZ		Aurora

	1	2
	1.7	2.15	Watch
	1.66	2.2
	1.67	2.05
	1.74	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	2.13 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MOUZ
55.7%

Aurora
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MOUZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOUZ than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Aurora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, MOUZ has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, MOUZ won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, MOUZ won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

MOUZ - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.91%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Aurora - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.09%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MOUZ CS
eSports
12.05.26	MOUZ - Aurora	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	MOUZ - 9z Team	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	MOUZ - G2 Esports	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	MOUZ - Gentle Mates	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Team Spirit - MOUZ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL
- Aurora CS
eSports
13.05.26	The MongolZ - Aurora	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	MOUZ - Aurora	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	PARIVISION - Aurora	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Aurora - The Huns	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Aurora - Heroic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

eSports
12.05.26	MOUZ - Aurora	2:0
14.04.26	MOUZ - Aurora	2:0
02.02.26	MOUZ - Aurora	0:2
14.06.25	Aurora - MOUZ	1:2

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