The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aurora 31.3%
Team Vitality 68.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
69.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
67.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Team Vitality has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Team Vitality than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
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Preview
Aurora has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Vitality shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Aurora could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Vitality carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Aurora has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:10 (averaging 0.6:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aurora against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Team Vitality - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 69.15%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.