Match Info

COUNTER-STRIKE: PGL Astana

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Heroic		Gentle Mates

	1	2
	1.58	2.35	Watch
	1.63	2.25
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.61)	2.26 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heroic
58.2%

Gentle Mates
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heroic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Gentle Mates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heroic than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gentle Mates than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Preview

Heroic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gentle Mates is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Gentle Mates has had a series of away games.

Heroic could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Heroic will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Heroic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Heroic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Heroic - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.75%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heroic CS
eSports
10.05.26	FURIA Esports - Heroic	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Aurora - Heroic	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Heroic - Monte	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	BIG - Heroic	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Heroic - BetBoom Team	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- Gentle Mates CS
eSports
10.05.26	K27 - Gentle Mates	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	MOUZ - Gentle Mates	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	RED Canids - Gentle Mates	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Gentle Mates - G2 Esports	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	9INE - Gentle Mates	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

eSports
28.09.25	Heroic - Gentle Mates	1:2

Heroic - Gentle Mates: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide