The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Team Spirit 55.2%
MOUZ 44.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.9%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
49.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Team Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
MOUZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Team Spirit than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Team Spirit that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOUZ than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MOUZ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spirit won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Recently, Spirit has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Spirit has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:23 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spirit against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 15:15 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
MOUZ - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.14%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.