The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Team Spirit 62.9%
MOUZ 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.3%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Team Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
MOUZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Team Spirit than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOUZ than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spirit won 4.
Spirit has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
MOUZ has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
Spirit is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Spirit has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:19 (averaging 1.6:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spirit against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:11 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Team Spirit - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.83%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
MOUZ - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.17%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.