Match Info

Date: 11 February 2022, Friday


	SaPKo		IPK

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.5	3.1
	1.95	4.25	2.75
	2.07	4.3	2.75
	1.96	4.2	2.9
	2.07	4.55	2.83
	1.85	4.5	3.1
	2.04	4.25	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.81)	4.36 ↑ (4.31)	2.91 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaPKo
46.9%

Draw
21.2%

IPK
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

21.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

15.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaPKo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

IPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaPKo than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SaPKo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that IPK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SaPKo - IPK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

SaPKo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches IPK is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

IPK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently IPK have a series of guest games.

SaPKo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 30 head-to-head matches SaPKo won 20 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 127-86.

Including matches at home between the teams SaPKo won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 71-33.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaPKo
Finnish Mestis
05.02.22	SaPKo - Kiekko-Espoo	1:3 ✺
03.02.22	Kiekko-Espoo - SaPKo	2:1 ✺
02.02.22	SaPKo - KeuPa	5:2 ✺
31.01.22	Peliitat Heinola - SaPKo	4:3 penalties ✺
29.01.22	Imatran Ketterä - SaPKo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLL
- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
08.02.22	Hokki - IPK	2:1 OT ✺
02.02.22	Forssan Palloseura - IPK	1:2 ✺
01.02.22	TuTo - IPK	1:3 ✺
29.01.22	IPK - Kiekko-Vantaa	2:3 penalties ✺
27.01.22	RoKi - IPK	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
18.12.21	IPK - SaPKo	4:1
20.11.21	SaPKo - IPK	4:1
16.10.21	IPK - SaPKo	2:1 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
16.09.20	SaPKo - IPK	0:1
04.09.20	IPK - SaPKo	6:5 OT
Finnish Mestis
19.02.20	SaPKo - IPK	5:4 penalties
03.01.20	IPK - SaPKo	3:4

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