The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IPK 51.5%
Draw 21%
Kiekko-Vantaa 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
19.8%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
21.5%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Kiekko-Vantaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Vantaa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
IPK - Kiekko Vantaa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Kerkola P. (G)
23. Auvinen S. (G)
59. Kahkonen J.
43. Niemelainen A.
96. Gronblom T.
18. Kettunen E.
77. Virtanen J. (C)
51. Lemberg L.
27. Lausniemi A. (A)
16. Henritius T. (A)
7. Suhonen P.
22. Rasanen V.
Line 2
81. Paqvalin A.
73. Satosaari P.
6. Leppanen T.
38. Hellman V. (C)
28. Tolppola V.
91. Suni O.
21. Jaatinen O.
25. Liuksiala J.
72. Ahvenlampi M.
11. Gustafsson R.
Line 3
56. Nissinen T.
41. Inhala J.
2. Junkkari J.
4. Nyman N.
13. Halonen V.
13. Tenhovuori N.
26. Hattunen M.
2. Moilanen S.
23. Paqvalin J.
72. Virtanen A.
Line 4
67. Curri R.
12. Haakana S.
18. Tohila R.
20. Kytovaara E.
33. Koskela S.
44. Laakso A.
9. Mykra O.
81. Menna M. (A)
Substitutes
30. Sammalniemi J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
00:55, 1 - 0, Ahvenlampi M. (G), Tolppola V. (A), Leppanen T. (A2)
06:16, 2 - 0, Lausniemi A. (G), Jaatinen O. (A), Gronblom T. (A2)
19:55, 3 - 0, Paqvalin J. (G), Leppanen T. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:46, 4 - 0, Virtanen J. (G), Suhonen P. (A), Lausniemi A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 3.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Kiekko-Vantaa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
IPK is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, IPK has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:67 (averaging 3.5:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for IPK against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 40:35 goals (averaging 3.6:3.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
IPK
8
6
1
1
0
30:12
21
2
K-Vantaa
9
6
1
0
2
26:21
20
Last Results with these Odds
Kiekko-Vantaa - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 27.66%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.