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Current Win Probability
IPK 57.7%
Draw 20.1%
KeuPa 22.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.4%
18.9%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.5%
19.5%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
KeuPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IPK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KeuPa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
IPK - KeuPa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Kerkola P. (G)
41. Pasanen J. (G)
81. Paqvalin A.
7. Vaharautio K.
6. Leppanen T.
25. Paganus T.
77. Virtanen J.
61. Aaltonen S.
27. Lausniemi A.
83. Ketonen N.
7. Suhonen P.
74. Matikainen K.
Line 2
96. Gronblom T.
18. Vuontisvaara O.
2. Junkkari J.
42. Wolin A.
28. Tolppola V.
12. Huttu E.
21. Jaatinen O.
72. Mutka J.
72. Ahvenlampi M.
93. Jarvenpaa M.
Line 3
59. Kahkonen J.
22. Vaisanen V.
4. Kotajarvi J.
2. Kesajarvi A.
13. Halonen V.
16. Winqvist K.
33. Koskela S.
78. Keihas R.
23. Paqvalin J.
9. Hokkanen R.
Line 4
11. Mustonen E.
8. Krook A.
9. Mykra O.
24. Manni E.
18. Tohila R.
20. Eloranta E.
67. Curri R.
56. Rantanen N.
Substitutes
30. Sammalniemi J. (G)
35. Varis K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
01:56, 0 - 1, Kesajarvi A. (G), Winqvist K. (A), Hokkanen R. (A2)
07:24, 1 - 1, Ahvenlampi M. (G), Junkkari J. (A), Gronblom T. (A2)
17:50, 1 - 2, Jarvenpaa M. (G), Mutka J. (A), Huttu E. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:26, 2 - 2, Kahkonen J. (G), Halonen V. (A), Jaatinen O. (A2)
17:38, 3 - 2, Suhonen P. (G), Virtanen J. (A), Paqvalin A. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 3.
IPK has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
KeuPa shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
KeuPa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, KeuPa has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, IPK is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, IPK has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 72:44 (averaging 3.6:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for IPK against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 34:30 goals (averaging 3.1:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
IPK
13
9
1
2
1
44:27
31
7
KeuPa
15
4
2
2
7
42:52
18
Last Results with these Odds
IPK - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.39%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Finland
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