Match Info

Mestis

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Lappi Areena (Rovaniemi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	RoKi		IPK

	1	X	2
	2.29	4.2	2.45	Watch
	2.31	3.77	2.31
	2.36	4.18	2.46	Watch
	2.25	3.9	2.4
	2.23	4.1	2.47	Watch
	2.3	4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.97)	4.03 ↓ (4.16)	2.42 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

RoKi
39.7%

Draw
22.6%

IPK
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

22.3%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

23.3%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoKi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RoKi's form might have worsened.

IPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IPK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RoKi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RoKi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IPK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

RoKi - IPK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
40. Huunonen R. (G)	31. Kerkola P. (G)
55. Kenttamaa A.	66. Valtola K.
84. Gronlund N.	4. Koskela V.
39. Niemi E.	17. Vartiainen T.
93. Jarvela J.	27. Lausniemi A.
15. Kaarela E.	44. Karppinen A.
Line 2
18. Siira L.	49. Viirret V.
28. Virtanen E.	12. Mikkonen O.
91. Mikkola M.	50. Oden M.
19. Orn T.	20. Ring L.
21. Alanko T.	7. Suhonen P.
Line 3
78. Haataja V.	55. Lahtinen O.
2. Manninen J.	2. Junkkari J.
71. Boucher E.	21. Suomalainen S.
87. Ruusunen R.	26. Hattunen M.
77. Sikorski A.	29. Mykra O.
Line 4
5. Antikainen A.	65. Haakana S.
90. Turppa T.	28. Samitis K.
23. Heinonen J.	33. Koskela S.
82. Korsumaki A.	67. Curri R.
Substitutes
1. Hyypia E. (G)	35. Rovio T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:38, 1 - 0, Boucher E. (G), Virtanen E. (A), Sikorski A. (A2)
07:57, 1 - 1, Curri R. (G), Samitis K. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
08:48, 1 - 2, Suomalainen S. (G), Mykra O. (A), Hattunen M. (A2)
16:32, 1 - 3, Ring L. (G), Oden M. (A),
17:54, 2 - 3, Kaarela E. (G), Kenttamaa A. (A), Jarvela J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:50, 3 - 3, Jarvela J. (G), Siira L. (A), Virtanen E. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:48, 3 - 4, Valtola K. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoKi won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

RoKi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, IPK has had a series of home games.

RoKi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that RoKi will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RoKi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 49:83. (average 2.5:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, RoKi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 2.6:3.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IPK	8	6	1	1	0	30:12	21
3	RoKi	8	3	3	0	2	26:15	15

Last Results with these Odds

RoKi - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.13%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rovaniemen Kiekko
Finnish Mestis
31.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi	1:4 ✺
30.01.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	RoKi - Nokian Pyry	5:1 ✺
23.01.26	RoKi - Imatran Ketterä	1:5 ✺
17.01.26	Kiekko-Vantaa - RoKi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLL
- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
31.01.26	IPK - Jokerit	3:4 penalties ✺
24.01.26	KeuPa - IPK	2:4 ✺
23.01.26	IPK - Kiekko-Vantaa	4:7 ✺
16.01.26	IPK - TuTo	2:5 ✺
13.01.26	IPK - KeuPa	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
10.01.26	IPK - RoKi	5:1
19.12.25	RoKi - IPK	5:3
07.10.25	RoKi - IPK	4:5 penalties
26.09.25	IPK - RoKi	6:5
08.03.25	RoKi - IPK	0:2
07.03.25	IPK - RoKi	4:2
05.03.25	RoKi - IPK	0:5

Upcoming Matches