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Current Win Probability
RoKi 37.7%
Draw 22.4%
IPK 39.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.2%
21.8%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
22.6%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RoKi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoKi than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
RoKi - IPK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Parviainen O. (G)
31. Kerkola P. (G)
55. Kenttamaa A. (C)
81. Paqvalin A.
2. Manninen J. (A)
6. Leppanen T.
96. Savolainen V.
9. Mykra O.
19. Orn T.
18. Tohila R.
21. Alanko T. (A)
67. Curri R.
Line 2
18. Siira L.
2. Junkkari J.
11. Laakso E.
13. Halonen V.
91. Mikkola M.
21. Jaatinen O.
87. Ruusunen R.
7. Suhonen P. (A)
76. Kaarela E.
Line 3
33. Lamsa J.
59. Kahkonen J.
5. Antikainen A.
4. Kotajarvi J.
9. Lindroos V.
77. Virtanen J. (C)
24. Puotiniemi V.
27. Lausniemi A. (A)
90. Vierimaa W.
23. Paqvalin J.
Line 4
84. Gronlund N.
28. Tolppola V.
13. Strazdins R.
33. Koskela S.
12. Ohtonen J.
11. Mustonen E.
23. Heinonen J.
Substitutes
1. Hyypia E. (G)
35. Moilanen M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
00:17, 0 - 1, Virtanen J. (G), Suhonen P. (A), Leppanen T. (A2)
02:03, 1 - 1, Heinonen J. (G), Kenttamaa A. (A), Ohtonen J. (A2)
02:26, 2 - 1, Strazdins R. (G), Ohtonen J. (A),
14:20, 2 - 2, Lausniemi A. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
09:32, 3 - 2, Manninen J. (G), Alanko T. (A), Orn T. (A2)
12:49, 3 - 3, Tolppola V. (G), Jaatinen O. (A), Mykra O. (A2)
17:29, 3 - 4, Junkkari J. (G), Suhonen P. (A), Gronblom T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:49, 3 - 5, Mykra O. (G), Tolppola V. (A), Jaatinen O. (A2)
13:06, 4 - 5, Vierimaa W. (G), Lindroos V. (A), Gronlund N. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoKi won 1.
RoKi has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by IPK have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, RoKi has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 48:89 (averaging 2.4:4.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for RoKi against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 21:38 goals (averaging 2.3:4.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
IPK
13
9
1
2
1
44:27
31
4
RoKi
13
4
3
1
5
43:34
19
Last Results with these Odds
RoKi - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.21%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
IPK - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.03%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.