Match Info

Mestis

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Rajupaja Areena (Turku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	TuTo		IPK

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.1	2.65
	2.19	4.05	2.65	Watch
	2.04	4.42	2.81	Watch
	2.1	3.9	2.6
	2.08	4.05	2.77	Watch
	2.5	4.1	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.47)	4.1 ↓ (4.15)	2.64 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TuTo
42.6%

Draw
22.4%

IPK
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

22.4%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

24.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TuTo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and IPK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

TuTo - IPK Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. TuTo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). IPK will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. TuTo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Helomaa J. (G)	35. Rovio T. (G)
7. Vare S.	66. Valtola K.
6. Tukiainen J.	4. Koskela V.
18. Samitis K.	44. Karppinen A.
11. Valila E. (A)	27. Lausniemi A.
22. Karnaranta V.	22. Koponen E.
Line 2
63. Reini R. (A)	49. Viirret V.
48. Vuorela J. (C)	12. Mikkonen O. (C)
23. Trakht D.	21. Suomalainen S. (A)
34. Hameenaho V.	26. Hattunen M.
19. Korhonen J.	7. Suhonen P.
Line 3
5. Karppinen I.	55. Lahtinen O. (A)
44. Vuori T.	65. Haakana S.
21. Virta S.	50. Oden M.
45. Eloranta E.	33. Koskela S.
14. Lindholm V.	67. Curri R.
Line 4
65. Nummelin R.	23. Kettunen N.
12. Kyllinen O.	59. Kahkonen J.
9. Rantanen N.	9. Vesaaja J.
54. Tervo E.
Substitutes
30. Selin L. (G)	1. Parviainen O. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
01:20, 0 - 1, Oden M. (G), Hattunen M. (A),
03:47, 0 - 2, Curri R. (G), Viirret V. (A), Koskela S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
14:53, 1 - 2, Korhonen J. (G), Hameenaho V. (A), Nummelin R. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
05:39, 2 - 2, Karnaranta V. (G), Trakht D. (A), Valila E. (A2)
10:01, 3 - 2, Virta S. (G), Karppinen I. (A), Lindholm V. (A2)
18:15, 4 - 2, Karnaranta V. (G), Virta S. (A), Valila E. (A2)

Preview

IPK is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TuTo won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

IPK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, IPK has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TuTo won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 69:58. (average 3.5:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, TuTo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 3.3:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IPK	8	6	1	1	0	30:12	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuTo
Finnish Mestis
21.02.26	Nokian Pyry - TuTo	2:4 ✺
19.02.26	TuTo - Imatran Ketterä	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - TuTo	1:3 ✺
13.02.26	Imatran Ketterä - TuTo	3:2 ✺
11.02.26	TuTo - RoKi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWLW
- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
21.02.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - IPK	1:4 ✺
19.02.26	IPK - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	IPK - Nokian Pyry	5:2 ✺
10.02.26	IPK - KeuPa	2:4 ✺
07.02.26	IPK - Hermes Kokkola	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
16.01.26	IPK - TuTo	2:5
05.12.25	TuTo - IPK	4:0
14.11.25	IPK - TuTo	3:2 OT
12.09.25	TuTo - IPK	4:3 OT
28.02.25	IPK - TuTo	0:5
07.02.25	TuTo - IPK	3:2 OT
17.01.25	IPK - TuTo	0:1

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