Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Kajaanin jäähalli (Kajaani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Sub


	Hokki		IPK

	1	X	2
	5.9	5	1.41
	4.45	4.45	1.5
	4.68	4.78	1.55	Watch
	4.5	4.4	1.44
	4.6	4.8	1.54	Watch
	5.9	5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (4.25)	4.74 ↑ (4.6)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hokki
18.4%

Draw
19.4%

IPK
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

19.6%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

17.5%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hokki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

IPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hokki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IPK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hokki - IPK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
33. Nieminen E. (G)	35. Taimi O. (G)
8. Mykkanen J.	49. Viirret V.
28. Andzans A.	12. Mikkonen O. (A)
77. Saarelainen J.	11. Virtanen J.
16. Alitalo V.	14. Timonen S. (C)
14. Heinanen K.	8. Airo J.
Line 2
6. Bilgili S.	22. von Gerdten R.
4. Heiskanen T.	71. Osenieks E.
87. Karasa A.	19. Saarelainen M.
12. Ohtonen J. (A)	26. Hattunen M.
63. Jokinen J. (C)	27. Nalli M.
Line 3
11. Koskenkorva S. (A)	6. Leppanen T.
38. Ilvessuo J.	2. Ylitalo E.
27. Aaltonen J.	13. Halonen V.
19. Homjakovs A.	89. Tammela J.
15. Pellikka A.	7. Suhonen P.
Line 4
23. Kuivas A.	21. Suomalainen S. (A)
73. Suutari L.	67. Lehtinen J.
26. Ojala J.	18. Vallius S.
91. Tuomainen N.
Substitutes
71. Nikkila N. (G)	70. Parviainen O. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:21, 0 - 1, Halonen V. (G), Suhonen P. (A), Tammela J. (A2)
19:39, 1 - 1, Bilgili S. (G), Homjakovs A. (A), Aaltonen J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
09:56, 1 - 2, Viirret V. (G), Tammela J. (A), Virtanen J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
12:16, 1 - 3, Halonen V. (G), von Gerdten R. (A), Suhonen P. (A2)
14:40, 2 - 3, Heiskanen T. (G), Jokinen J. (A), Ohtonen J. (A2)
18:25, 3 - 3, Ohtonen J. (G), Heiskanen T. (A), Jokinen J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Osenieks E. (Penalty Shot),
1, Ohtonen J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Saarelainen M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Saarelainen J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Virtanen J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Aaltonen J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Airo J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Mykkanen J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Halonen V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Alitalo V. (Penalty Shot),
6, Saarelainen J. (Penalty Shot),
6, Virtanen J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

IPK is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hokki won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

IPK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hokki have a series of guest games.

In this match IPK is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hokki won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 55:68 (average 2.8:3.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Hokki won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 32:38 (average 3.2:3.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Hokki - the odds 4.25 are the expected chance of winning is 21.19%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
13.02.25	Imatran Ketterä - Hokki	12:1 ✺
12.02.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hokki	6:2 ✺
08.02.25	RoKi - Hokki	4:2 ✺
07.02.25	Hokki - KeuPa	3:2 ✺
05.02.25	IPK - Hokki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLLWW
- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
14.02.25	IPK - Kiekko-Vantaa	6:2 ✺
12.02.25	Hermes Kokkola - IPK	2:3 OT ✺
08.02.25	Jokerit - IPK	4:2 ✺
07.02.25	TuTo - IPK	3:2 OT ✺
05.02.25	IPK - Hokki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
05.02.25	IPK - Hokki	1:2
24.01.25	IPK - Hokki	4:1
12.11.24	IPK - Hokki	3:0
01.11.24	Hokki - IPK	0:8
16.10.24	Hokki - IPK	1:4
17.02.24	Hokki - IPK	2:3
30.12.23	IPK - Hokki	6:1

Upcoming Matches