Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday


	SaPKo		KeuPa

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.65	3
	1.83	4.33	3
	1.8	4.2	3.45
	1.83	4.4	3.15
	1.87	4.58	3.21
	1.91	4.33	3
	1.85	4.55	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.91)	4.43 ↑ (4.39)	3.15 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaPKo
49.9%

Draw
20.8%

KeuPa
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

21.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

15.9%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaPKo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

KeuPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaPKo than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SaPKo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KeuPa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SaPKo - KeuPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

SaPKo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches KeuPa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SaPKo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

SaPKo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 45 head-to-head matches SaPKo won 26 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 18 matches and goals 150-126.

Including matches at home between the teams SaPKo won 14 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 79-58.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaPKo
Finnish Mestis
31.01.22	Peliitat Heinola - SaPKo	4:3 penalties ✺
29.01.22	Imatran Ketterä - SaPKo	3:1 ✺
07.01.22	SaPKo - RoKi	4:7 ✺
30.12.21	SaPKo - Imatran Ketterä	2:5 ✺
29.12.21	Imatran Ketterä - SaPKo	8:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- KeuPa HT
Finnish Mestis
29.01.22	KeuPa - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	2:7 ✺
28.01.22	Kiekko-Espoo - KeuPa	5:0 ✺
22.01.22	IPK - KeuPa	2:3 penalties ✺
18.01.22	KeuPa - Kiekko-Vantaa	5:3 ✺
30.12.21	KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
06.11.21	KeuPa - SaPKo	3:4 penalties
24.09.21	SaPKo - KeuPa	2:3
Finnish Cup Hockey
05.09.21	SaPKo - KeuPa	5:3
Finnish Mestis
20.11.20	KeuPa - SaPKo	7:1
13.11.20	SaPKo - KeuPa	2:6
24.10.20	KeuPa - SaPKo	7:4
08.10.20	SaPKo - KeuPa	6:4

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