Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Air Force Falcons		Colorado State Rams

	1	2
	2.9	1.43
	2.85	1.44
	2.82	1.42	Watch
	2.92	1.44
	2.81	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.9	1.44
	2.82	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.29)	1.43 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Air Force Falcons
33.4%

Colorado State Rams
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Air Force Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Colorado State Rams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Air Force Falcons than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado State Rams than the current prediction. (+4%)

Air Force Falcons - Colorado State Rams Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:26

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 0)
2nd Quarter (0 - 14)
09:32, Brown II. (Touchdown),
09:32, Noyes J. (Extra Point),
12:13, Dupree J. (Touchdown),
12:13, Noyes J. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 7)
03:58, Goodie C. (Touchdown),
03:58, Noyes J. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (13 - 0)
03:11, Latham T. (Touchdown),
03:11, Dapore M. (Extra Point),
09:10, Busha J. (Touchdown),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Air Force won 5.

Air Force has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Colorado State is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Colorado State have a series of home games.

In this match Colorado State is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Air Force won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 353:301 (average 27.2:23.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Air Force won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 169:122 (average 28.2:20.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Air Force Falcons football
NCAA College Football
12.10.24	New Mexico Lobos - Air Force Falcons	52:37 ✺
05.10.24	Air Force Falcons - Navy Midshipmen	7:34 ✺
28.09.24	Wyoming Cowboys - Air Force Falcons	31:19 ✺
14.09.24	Baylor Bears - Air Force Falcons	31:3 ✺
07.09.24	Air Force Falcons - San Jose State Spartans	7:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Colorado State Rams football
NCAA College Football
12.10.24	Colorado State Rams - San Jose State Spartans	31:24 ✺
05.10.24	Oregon State Beavers - Colorado State Rams	39:31 OT ✺
21.09.24	Colorado State Rams - UTEP Miners	27:17 ✺
14.09.24	Colorado State Rams - Colorado Buffaloes	9:28 ✺
07.09.24	Colorado State Rams - Northern Colorado Bears	38:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
28.10.23	Colorado State Rams - Air Force Falcons	13:30
19.11.22	Air Force Falcons - Colorado State Rams	24:12
13.11.21	Colorado State Rams - Air Force Falcons	21:35
26.11.20	Air Force Falcons - Colorado State Rams	Canceled
16.11.19	Colorado State Rams - Air Force Falcons	21:38
22.11.18	Air Force Falcons - Colorado State Rams	27:19
28.10.17	Colorado State Rams - Air Force Falcons	28:45

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