Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Air Force Falcons		UNLV Rebels

	1	2
	1.69	2.25
	1.67	2.25
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.34
	1.66	2.34
	1.62	2.2
	1.64	2.27
	1.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.54)	2.26 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Air Force Falcons
57.8%

UNLV Rebels
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Air Force Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

UNLV Rebels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Air Force Falcons than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNLV Rebels than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Air Force Falcons - UNLV Rebels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Air Force won 5.

Recent matches Air Force is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UNLV is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Air Force could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Air Force won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 269-186.

Including matches at home between the teams Air Force won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 103-85.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Air Force Falcons football
NCAA College Football
11.11.23	Hawaii Warriors - Air Force Falcons	27:13 ✺
04.11.23	Air Force Falcons - Army Black Knights	3:23 ✺
28.10.23	Colorado State Rams - Air Force Falcons	13:30 ✺
21.10.23	Navy Midshipmen - Air Force Falcons	6:17 ✺
14.10.23	Air Force Falcons - Wyoming Cowboys	34:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW
- UNLV Rebels football
NCAA College Football
10.11.23	UNLV Rebels - Wyoming Cowboys	34:14 ✺
04.11.23	New Mexico Lobos - UNLV Rebels	14:56 ✺
28.10.23	Fresno State Bulldogs - UNLV Rebels	31:24 ✺
21.10.23	UNLV Rebels - Colorado State Rams	25:23 ✺
14.10.23	Nevada Wolf Pack - UNLV Rebels	27:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
15.10.22	UNLV Rebels - Air Force Falcons	7:42
26.11.21	Air Force Falcons - UNLV Rebels	48:14
19.10.18	UNLV Rebels - Air Force Falcons	35:41
14.10.17	Air Force Falcons - UNLV Rebels	34:30
08.11.14	UNLV Rebels - Air Force Falcons	21:48
21.11.13	Air Force Falcons - UNLV Rebels	21:41
22.09.12	UNLV Rebels - Air Force Falcons	38:35

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