Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Arkansas State Red Wolves		Texas State Bobcats

	1	2
	4.75	1.2
	4.75	1.2
	4.71	1.17
	4.82	1.2
	7.03	1.07	Watch
	4.7	1.18
	4.1	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.47)	1.17 ↓ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arkansas State Red Wolves
19.1%

Texas State Bobcats
80.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

78.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkansas State Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Texas State Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:39

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
02:52, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
02:52, Robles T. (Extra Point),
12:51, Raynor J. (Touchdown),
12:51, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 3)
04:31, van Andel C. (Field Goal),
09:10, Robles T. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (21 - 20)
02:49, Lyons T. (Touchdown),
02:49, Robles T. (Extra Point),
08:17, Summers H. (Touchdown),
08:17, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
11:12, Pare L. (Touchdown),
11:12, Robles T. (Extra Point),
13:35, Clay K. (Touchdown),
13:59, Pare L. (Touchdown),
14:50, Raynor J. (Touchdown),
14:50, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
15', (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arkansas State won 1.

Recent form of Arkansas State has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Texas State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Texas State is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Arkansas State won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 423:289. (average 35.3:24.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Arkansas State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 260:119. (average 43.3:19.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arkansas State Red Wolves football
NCAA College Football
27.09.25	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - Arkansas State Red Wolves	28:16 ✺
20.09.25	Kennesaw State Owls - Arkansas State Red Wolves	28:21 ✺
13.09.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Iowa State Cyclones	16:24 ✺
06.09.25	Arkansas Razorbacks - Arkansas State Red Wolves	56:14 ✺
30.08.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	42:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Texas State Bobcats football
NCAA College Football
20.09.25	Texas State Bobcats - Nicholls State Colonels	35:3 ✺
13.09.25	Arizona State Sun Devils - Texas State Bobcats	34:15 ✺
06.09.25	UT-San Antonio Roadrunners - Texas State Bobcats	36:43 ✺
30.08.25	Texas State Bobcats - Eastern Michigan Eagles	52:27 ✺
03.01.25	Texas State Bobcats - North Texas Mean Green	30:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
12.10.24	Texas State Bobcats - Arkansas State Red Wolves	41:9
18.11.23	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats	77:31
19.11.22	Texas State Bobcats - Arkansas State Red Wolves	16:13
27.11.21	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats	22:24
21.11.20	Texas State Bobcats - Arkansas State Red Wolves	47:45
26.10.19	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats	38:14
24.11.18	Texas State Bobcats - Arkansas State Red Wolves	7:33

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