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Current Win Probability
Atlanta Falcons 57.7%
Washington Commanders 42.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
50.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Falcons's performance.
Washington Commanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Washington Commanders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta Falcons that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Washington Commanders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Washington will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 35.2% – 84.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 3 - 50%). Washington (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:21
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (10 - 0)
04:14, Romo J. P. (Field Goal),
14:11, London D. (Touchdown),
14:11, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 10)
03:29, McCaffrey L. (Touchdown),
03:29, Gay M. (Extra Point),
06:33, Robinson B. (Touchdown),
06:33, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
09:36, Gay M. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (14 - 6)
04:48, Gay M. (Field Goal),
05:35, Pitts K. (Touchdown),
05:35, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
10:38, Gay M. (Field Goal),
14:46, Allgeier T. (Touchdown),
14:46, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (3 - 11)
06:12, Samuel D. (Touchdown),
06:12, Ertz Z. (Two-Point Conversion),
13:03, Romo J. P. (Field Goal),
13:31, Gay M. (Field Goal),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 0.
Atlanta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Washington has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 227:219. (average 22.7:21.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 128:139. (average 21.3:23.2).
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United-kingdom
World
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