Match Info

NFL - Round 15

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 3
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Arena 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Tampa Bay Buccaneers		Atlanta Falcons

	1	2
	1.34	3.35	Watch
	1.36	3.06
	1.35	3.46
	1.35	3.13	Watch
	1.36	3.15
	1.33	3.32
	1.36	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)	3.25 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
70.6%

Atlanta Falcons
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Atlanta Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Atlanta will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:19

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
13:22, Tucker S. (Touchdown),
13:22, McLaughlin C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (6 - 14)
02:49, Pitts K. (Touchdown),
02:49, Gonzalez Z. (Extra Point),
12:56, McLaughlin C. (Field Goal),
14:22, Pitts K. (Touchdown),
14:22, Gonzalez Z. (Extra Point),
15:00, McLaughlin C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
08:38, Devin C. (Touchdown),
08:38, McLaughlin C. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (8 - 15)
01:26, Godwin C. (Touchdown),
01:26, Godwin C. (Two-Point Conversion),
05:23, Robinson B. (Touchdown),
05:23, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
11:26, Pitts K. (Touchdown),
11:26, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
15:00, Gonzalez Z. (Field Goal),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 553:531. (average 27.7:26.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 278:262. (average 27.8:26.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL
07.12.25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - New Orleans Saints	20:24 ✺
30.11.25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Arizona Cardinals	20:17 ✺
23.11.25	Los Angeles Rams - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	34:7 ✺
16.11.25	Buffalo Bills - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	44:32 ✺
09.11.25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - New England Patriots	23:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Atlanta Falcons
NFL
07.12.25	Atlanta Falcons - Seattle Seahawks	9:37 ✺
30.11.25	New York Jets - Atlanta Falcons	27:24 ✺
23.11.25	New Orleans Saints - Atlanta Falcons	10:24 ✺
16.11.25	Atlanta Falcons - Carolina Panthers	27:30 OT ✺
09.11.25	Indianapolis Colts - Atlanta Falcons	31:25 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
07.09.25	Atlanta Falcons - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	20:23
27.10.24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons	26:31
03.10.24	Atlanta Falcons - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	36:30 OT
10.12.23	Atlanta Falcons - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	25:29
22.10.23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons	13:16
08.01.23	Atlanta Falcons - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	30:17
09.10.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons	21:15

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