Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Baylor Bears		Kansas State Wildcats

	1	2
	1.48	2.75
	1.48	2.7
	1.45	2.66
	1.52	2.67
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.5	2.62
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.42)	2.57 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baylor Bears
62.9%

Kansas State Wildcats
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baylor Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Kansas State Wildcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baylor Bears than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kansas State Wildcats than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Baylor Bears - Kansas State Wildcats Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Baylor (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baylor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 7)
05:27, Johnson A. (Touchdown),
05:27, Rodriguez L. (Extra Point),
10:42, Hawkins C. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (14 - 10)
07:21, Prentice K. (Touchdown),
07:21, Hawkins C. (Extra Point),
10:37, Rodriguez L. (Field Goal),
12:58, Trigg M. (Touchdown),
13:03, Hawkins C. (Extra Point),
14:47, Oakley G. (Touchdown),
14:47, Rodriguez L. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 14)
10:25, Brown J. (Touchdown),
10:25, Rodriguez L. (Extra Point),
13:45, Edwards D. (Touchdown),
13:45, Rodriguez L. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (18 - 3)
06:10, Washington B. (Touchdown),
06:10, Robertson S. (Two-Point Conversion),
10:32, Redding J. (Touchdown),
10:32, Hawkins C. (Extra Point),
13:12, Rodriguez L. (Field Goal),
14:29, Hawkins C. (Field Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baylor won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Baylor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kansas State has had a series of home games.

Baylor might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Baylor won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 345:352. (average 26.5:27.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Baylor won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 183:189. (average 26.1:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baylor Bears football
NCAA College Football
27.09.25	Oklahoma State Cowboys - Baylor Bears	27:45 ✺
20.09.25	Baylor Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils	24:27 ✺
13.09.25	Baylor Bears - Samford Bulldogs	42:7 ✺
06.09.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Baylor Bears	45:48 OT ✺
29.08.25	Baylor Bears - Auburn Tigers	24:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- Kansas State Wildcats football
NCAA College Football
27.09.25	Kansas State Wildcats - UCF Knights	34:20 ✺
12.09.25	Arizona Wildcats - Kansas State Wildcats	23:17 ✺
06.09.25	Kansas State Wildcats - Army Black Knights	21:24 ✺
30.08.25	Kansas State Wildcats - North Dakota Fighting Hawks	38:35 ✺
23.08.25	Kansas State Wildcats - Iowa State Cyclones	21:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
11.11.23	Kansas State Wildcats - Baylor Bears	59:25
12.11.22	Baylor Bears - Kansas State Wildcats	3:31
20.11.21	Kansas State Wildcats - Baylor Bears	10:20
28.11.20	Baylor Bears - Kansas State Wildcats	32:31
05.10.19	Kansas State Wildcats - Baylor Bears	12:31
06.10.18	Baylor Bears - Kansas State Wildcats	37:34
30.09.17	Kansas State Wildcats - Baylor Bears	33:20

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