Match Info

NCAA

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Baylor Bears		TCU Horned Frogs

	1	2
	1.52	2.43
	1.52	2.47
	1.6	2.47
	1.5	2.51	Watch
	1.51	2.6
	1.49	2.53	Watch
	1.45	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.41)	2.49 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baylor Bears
62.2%

TCU Horned Frogs
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baylor Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

TCU Horned Frogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baylor Bears than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TCU Horned Frogs than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baylor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
09', (Touchdown),
09', (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (6 - 0)
06', (Field Goal),
12', (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 10)
01', (Touchdown),
01', (Extra Point),
09', (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baylor won 1.

Baylor has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by TCU have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, TCU has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Baylor is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Baylor in today's match, at odds of 1.43.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Baylor has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 395:529 (averaging 28.2:37.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Baylor against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 201:281 goals (averaging 28.7:40.1 per game).

Outrights of NCAA College Football for now

TCU: 0.08% Baylor: 0.08%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baylor Bears football
NCAA College Football
03.10.26	Arizona State Sun Devils - Baylor Bears	19:55 ✺
26.09.26	Baylor Bears - Colorado Buffaloes	23:13 ✺
19.09.26	Baylor Bears - Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	36:19 ✺
12.09.26	Baylor Bears - Prairie View A&M Panthers	44:3 ✺
05.09.26	Auburn Tigers - Baylor Bears	17:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL
- TCU Horned Frogs football
NCAA College Football
03.10.26	TCU Horned Frogs - Brigham Young Cougars	10:17 ✺
26.09.26	UCF Knights - TCU Horned Frogs	21:13 ✺
19.09.26	TCU Horned Frogs - Arkansas State Red Wolves	31:7 ✺
12.09.26	TCU Horned Frogs - Grambling State Tigers	63:7 ✺
29.08.26	TCU Horned Frogs - North Carolina Tar Heels	10:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
18.10.25	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	42:36
02.11.24	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	37:34
18.11.23	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	42:17
19.11.22	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	28:29
06.11.21	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	30:28
31.10.20	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	23:33
09.11.19	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	23:29 OT

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