Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Baylor Bears		TCU Horned Frogs

	1	2
	1.71	2.2
	1.7	2.2
	1.7	2.12
	1.7	2.25
	1.64	2.24	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.71	2.2
	1.7	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	2.18 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: ESPN2

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Current Win Probability

Baylor Bears
56.3%

TCU Horned Frogs
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baylor Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

TCU Horned Frogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baylor Bears than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baylor Bears that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TCU Horned Frogs than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TCU Horned Frogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:31

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
08:18, Bailey J. (Touchdown),
08:18, Lemmermann K. (Extra Point),
13:12, Washington B. (Touchdown),
13:12, Hankins I. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (6 - 10)
06:19, Washington B. (Touchdown),
09:42, Lemmermann K. (Field Goal),
14:10, Hoover J. (Touchdown),
14:10, Lemmermann K. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 10)
05:56, Lemmermann K. (Field Goal),
09:51, Pendergrass D. (Touchdown),
09:51, Hankins I. (Extra Point),
14:37, Bech J. (Touchdown),
14:37, Lemmermann K. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (17 - 7)
00:57, Washington B. (Touchdown),
00:57, Hankins I. (Extra Point),
10:06, Washington B. (Touchdown),
10:06, Hankins I. (Extra Point),
13:05, Bech J. (Touchdown),
13:05, Lemmermann K. (Extra Point),
15:00, Hankins I. (Field Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baylor won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Baylor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Baylor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 322:453 (average 26.8:37.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Baylor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 164:247 (average 27.3:41.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baylor Bears football
NCAA College Football
26.10.24	Baylor Bears - Oklahoma State Cowboys	38:28 ✺
19.10.24	Texas Tech Red Raiders - Baylor Bears	35:59 ✺
05.10.24	Iowa State Cyclones - Baylor Bears	43:21 ✺
28.09.24	Baylor Bears - Brigham Young Cougars	28:34 ✺
21.09.24	Colorado Buffaloes - Baylor Bears	38:31 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL
- TCU Horned Frogs football
NCAA College Football
26.10.24	TCU Horned Frogs - Texas Tech Red Raiders	35:34 ✺
19.10.24	Utah Utes - TCU Horned Frogs	7:13 ✺
04.10.24	TCU Horned Frogs - Houston Cougars	19:30 ✺
28.09.24	Kansas Jayhawks - TCU Horned Frogs	27:38 ✺
21.09.24	Southern Methodist Mustangs - TCU Horned Frogs	66:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
18.11.23	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	42:17
19.11.22	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	28:29
06.11.21	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	30:28
31.10.20	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	23:33
09.11.19	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	23:29 OT
17.11.18	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	9:16
24.11.17	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	45:22

Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide