Match Info

UFL - Round 7

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:00	ESPN 2


	Birmingham Stallions		Houston Roughnecks

	1	2
	1.4	3
	1.4	3
	1.37	3.02	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.39	3.1
	1.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.25)	3 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Stallions
68.4%

Houston Roughnecks
31.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Stallions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birmingham Stallions's form might have worsened.

Houston Roughnecks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Houston Roughnecks's recent form is better than expected.

Birmingham Stallions - Houston Roughnecks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:16

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (6 - 18)
2nd Quarter (6 - 7)
3rd Quarter (6 - 0)
4th Quarter (15 - 0)

Preview

Birmingham is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Houston Roughnecks has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Houston Roughnecks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Birmingham is considered a favorite.

We predict that Birmingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 90:53. (average 30:17.7).

Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Stallions
UFL
04.05.25	Birmingham Stallions - San Antonio Brahmas	26:3 ✺
25.04.25	Birmingham Stallions - Memphis Showboats	20:24 OT ✺
19.04.25	Houston Roughnecks - Birmingham Stallions	16:23 ✺
11.04.25	Birmingham Stallions - Dallas Renegades	10:9 ✺
04.04.25	Michigan Panthers - Birmingham Stallions	12:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW
- Houston Roughnecks
UFL
03.05.25	Houston Roughnecks - Memphis Showboats	21:20 ✺
27.04.25	San Antonio Brahmas - Houston Roughnecks	3:27 ✺
19.04.25	Houston Roughnecks - Birmingham Stallions	16:23 ✺
12.04.25	Memphis Showboats - Houston Roughnecks	17:18 ✺
06.04.25	Dallas Renegades - Houston Roughnecks	11:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UFL
19.04.25	Houston Roughnecks - Birmingham Stallions	16:23
18.05.24	Birmingham Stallions - Houston Roughnecks	35:28
27.04.24	Houston Roughnecks - Birmingham Stallions	9:32

Birmingham Stallions - Houston Roughnecks