Match Info

USA: NCAA - Bowl

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bowling Green Falcons		Arkansas State Red Wolves

	1	2
	1.27	3.9
	1.28	3.75
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	4.17
	1.24	3.99	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.27	3.9
	1.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)	3.93 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Network on TV: ESPN

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Current Win Probability

Bowling Green Falcons
75.8%

Arkansas State Red Wolves
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bowling Green Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bowling Green Falcons's performance.

Arkansas State Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arkansas State Red Wolves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bowling Green Falcons than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bowling Green Falcons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arkansas State Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arkansas State Red Wolves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Bowling Green Falcons - Arkansas State Red Wolves Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bowling Green will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Arkansas State will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 17)
05:03, van Andel C. (Field Goal),
06:58, Jackson C. (Touchdown),
06:58, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
10:56, Johnson Jr. M. (Touchdown),
10:56, Long Z. (Extra Point),
13:21, Raynor J. (Touchdown),
13:21, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 7)
08:14, Patterson J. (Touchdown),
08:14, Long Z. (Extra Point),
10:47, Rucker C. (Touchdown),
10:47, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
13:24, Fannin Jr. H. (Touchdown),
13:24, Long Z. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (3 - 7)
03:39, Rucker C. (Touchdown),
03:39, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
08:46, Long Z. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (7 - 7)
11:50, Wallace Z. (Touchdown),
11:50, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
13:18, Smith R. (Touchdown),
13:18, Long Z. (Extra Point),

Preview

Bowling Green is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arkansas State is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bowling Green is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bowling Green Falcons football
NCAA College Football
29.11.24	Bowling Green Falcons - Miami OH RedHawks	12:28 ✺
23.11.24	Ball State Cardinals - Bowling Green Falcons	13:38 ✺
12.11.24	Bowling Green Falcons - Western Michigan Broncos	31:13 ✺
05.11.24	Central Michigan Chippewas - Bowling Green Falcons	13:23 ✺
26.10.24	Toledo Rockets - Bowling Green Falcons	26:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW
- Arkansas State Red Wolves football
NCAA College Football
30.11.24	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Old Dominion Monarchs	32:40 ✺
23.11.24	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	28:21 ✺
16.11.24	Georgia State Panthers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	20:27 ✺
09.11.24	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - Arkansas State Red Wolves	55:19 ✺
26.10.24	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Troy Trojans	34:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

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