The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bowling Green Falcons 67.6%
Ball State Cardinals 32.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
70.7%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.3%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bowling Green Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Ball State Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bowling Green Falcons than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ball State Cardinals than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Bowling Green Falcons - Ball State Cardinals Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:20
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (0 - 3)
09:07, Boehm B. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (10 - 7)
07:53, Horton T. (Touchdown),
07:53, Boehm B. (Extra Point),
08:10, Ridley B. (Touchdown),
08:10, Kenner T. (Extra Point),
14:11, Kenner T. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 7)
11:41, Luster K. (Touchdown),
11:41, Boehm B. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 7)
14', (Touchdown),
14', (Touchdown),
14', (Extra Point),
15', (Touchdown),
15', (Extra Point),
15', (Extra Point),
Overtime (7 - 8)
Preview
Bowling Green has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ball State is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Bowling Green for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Bowling Green has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 134:85 (averaging 26.8:17 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bowling Green against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 48:62 goals (averaging 24:31 per game).
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