Match Info

NFL - Round 17

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Australia	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	DAZN, Ruutu+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9, DAZN
Hungary	Arena 4, DAZN
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	DAZN
Peru	Fox Sports
Poland	DAZN, Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Buffalo Bills		Philadelphia Eagles

	1	2
	1.59	2.45	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.28	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.59	2.45
	1.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.66)	2.39 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Buffalo Bills
60.1%

Philadelphia Eagles
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Bills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Philadelphia Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buffalo Bills that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Eagles than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	0%	35%

Buffalo Bills - Philadelphia Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 4 - 40%). Philadelphia (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Buffalo (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 45, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Philadelphia (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:22

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
14:25, Goedert D. (Touchdown),
14:25, Elliott J. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 6)
09:57, Elliott J. (Field Goal),
14:52, Elliott J. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (12 - 0)
09:49, Allen J. (Touchdown),
09:49, Badgley M. (Missed Extra Point),
14:55, Allen J. (Touchdown),
14:55, (2-Point Conversion Failed),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).

Buffalo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Philadelphia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Buffalo has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Buffalo will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 83:111. (average 20.8:27.8).

Including home match between the teams, Buffalo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Bills
NFL
21.12.25	Cleveland Browns - Buffalo Bills	20:23 ✺
14.12.25	New England Patriots - Buffalo Bills	31:35 ✺
07.12.25	Buffalo Bills - Cincinnati Bengals	39:34 ✺
30.11.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Buffalo Bills	7:26 ✺
20.11.25	Houston Texans - Buffalo Bills	23:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWL
- Philadelphia Eagles
NFL
20.12.25	Washington Commanders - Philadelphia Eagles	18:29 ✺
14.12.25	Philadelphia Eagles - Las Vegas Raiders	31:0 ✺
08.12.25	Los Angeles Chargers - Philadelphia Eagles	22:19 OT ✺
28.11.25	Philadelphia Eagles - Chicago Bears	15:24 ✺
23.11.25	Dallas Cowboys - Philadelphia Eagles	24:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
26.11.23	Philadelphia Eagles - Buffalo Bills	37:34 OT
27.10.19	Buffalo Bills - Philadelphia Eagles	13:31
17.08.17	Philadelphia Eagles - Buffalo Bills	20:16
13.12.15	Philadelphia Eagles - Buffalo Bills	23:20

Upcoming Matches