Match Info

NFL - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN, Sky Sports Main Event
World	NFL Game Pass


	Buffalo Bills		Cincinnati Bengals

	1	2
	1.34	3.35	Watch
	1.34	3.16	Watch
	1.36	3.39
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.36	3.3
	1.34	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.3)	3.29 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buffalo Bills
71%

Cincinnati Bengals
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Bills has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Cincinnati Bengals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Bengals than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Buffalo Bills - Cincinnati Bengals Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 7)
08:16, Brown C. (Touchdown),
08:16, McPherson E. (Extra Point),
13:04, Prater M. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (8 - 14)
01:27, Higgins T. (Touchdown),
01:27, McPherson E. (Extra Point),
07:33, Shakir K. (Touchdown),
07:33, Knox D. (Two-Point Conversion),
11:42, Brown C. (Touchdown),
11:42, McPherson E. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
05:40, Kincaid D. (Touchdown),
05:40, Prater M. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (21 - 13)
06:16, Gesicki M. (Touchdown),
06:16, McPherson E. (Extra Point),
06:34, Benford C. (Touchdown),
07:27, Prater M. (Extra Point),
09:35, Allen J. (Touchdown),
09:35, Prater M. (Extra Point),
11:57, Hawes J. (Touchdown),
11:57, Prater M. (Extra Point),
12:47, Higgins T. (Touchdown),
12:47, Burrow J. (2-Point Conversion Failed),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 1.

Buffalo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cincinnati is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Buffalo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Buffalo is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 139:187. (average 15.4:20.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 89:131. (average 17.8:26.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Bills
NFL
30.11.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Buffalo Bills	7:26 ✺
20.11.25	Houston Texans - Buffalo Bills	23:19 ✺
16.11.25	Buffalo Bills - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	44:32 ✺
09.11.25	Miami Dolphins - Buffalo Bills	30:13 ✺
02.11.25	Buffalo Bills - Kansas City Chiefs	28:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW
- Cincinnati Bengals
NFL
27.11.25	Baltimore Ravens - Cincinnati Bengals	14:32 ✺
23.11.25	Cincinnati Bengals - New England Patriots	20:26 ✺
16.11.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cincinnati Bengals	34:12 ✺
02.11.25	Cincinnati Bengals - Chicago Bears	42:47 ✺
26.10.25	Cincinnati Bengals - New York Jets	38:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
05.11.23	Cincinnati Bengals - Buffalo Bills	24:18
22.01.23	Buffalo Bills - Cincinnati Bengals	10:27
02.01.23	Cincinnati Bengals - Buffalo Bills	Canceled
22.09.19	Buffalo Bills - Cincinnati Bengals	21:17
26.08.18	Buffalo Bills - Cincinnati Bengals	13:26
08.10.17	Cincinnati Bengals - Buffalo Bills	20:16
20.11.16	Cincinnati Bengals - Buffalo Bills	12:16

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