Match Info

NFL - Round 7

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Paycor Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, SporTV 2
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 1
Hungary	Arena 4
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN, Sky Sports Main Event
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NFL Game Pass


	Cincinnati Bengals		Pittsburgh Steelers

	1	2
	3	1.41	Watch
	3.01	1.37	Watch
	3.12	1.41
	4.04	1.22	Watch
	3.1	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.81)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Bengals
29.5%

Pittsburgh Steelers
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Bengals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Pittsburgh Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Bengals than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati Bengals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Steelers than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pittsburgh Steelers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Cincinnati Bengals - Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 15 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 3 - 60%). Pittsburgh (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5, OT - Cincinnati (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 42.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pittsburgh (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:26

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
04:09, Smith J. (Touchdown),
04:09, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (17 - 3)
04:34, Boswell C. (Field Goal),
09:22, Chase J. (Touchdown),
09:22, McPherson E. (Extra Point),
12:08, Higgins T. (Touchdown),
12:08, McPherson E. (Extra Point),
15:00, McPherson E. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 7)
07:05, McPherson E. (Field Goal),
11:05, Freiermuth P. (Touchdown),
11:05, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (13 - 14)
00:03, Fant N. (Touchdown),
00:03, McPherson E. (Extra Point),
03:57, Washington D. (Touchdown),
03:57, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
08:02, McPherson E. (Field Goal),
12:39, Freiermuth P. (Touchdown),
12:39, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
14:53, McPherson E. (Field Goal),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.

Cincinnati has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pittsburgh is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pittsburgh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pittsburgh is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cincinnati: All E. (Knee Injury) Anthony D. (Hamstring Injury) Johnson C. (Calf Injury) Patrick L. (Calf Injury)

We predict that Pittsburgh will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 390:475. (average 19.5:23.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 243:252. (average 22.1:22.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Bengals
NFL
12.10.25	Green Bay Packers - Cincinnati Bengals	27:18 ✺
05.10.25	Cincinnati Bengals - Detroit Lions	24:37 ✺
29.09.25	Denver Broncos - Cincinnati Bengals	28:3 ✺
21.09.25	Minnesota Vikings - Cincinnati Bengals	48:10 ✺
14.09.25	Cincinnati Bengals - Jacksonville Jaguars	31:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
12.10.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cleveland Browns	23:9 ✺
28.09.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Minnesota Vikings	24:21 ✺
21.09.25	New England Patriots - Pittsburgh Steelers	14:21 ✺
14.09.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Seattle Seahawks	17:31 ✺
07.09.25	New York Jets - Pittsburgh Steelers	32:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
04.01.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cincinnati Bengals	17:19
01.12.24	Cincinnati Bengals - Pittsburgh Steelers	38:44
23.12.23	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cincinnati Bengals	34:11
26.11.23	Cincinnati Bengals - Pittsburgh Steelers	10:16
20.11.22	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cincinnati Bengals	30:37
11.09.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Pittsburgh Steelers	20:23 OT
28.11.21	Cincinnati Bengals - Pittsburgh Steelers	41:10

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