Match Info

NFL - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Ford Field (Detroit, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN, ESPN
Croatia	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9, DAZN
Hungary	Arena 4, DAZN
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	DAZN
Peru	Fox Sports
Poland	DAZN, Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Detroit Lions		Pittsburgh Steelers

	1	2
	1.25	4.2	Watch
	1.23	3.96	Watch
	1.3	3.68
	1.33	3.22	Watch
	1.25	4
	1.25	4.2
	1.23	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	3.93 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit Lions
75.7%

Pittsburgh Steelers
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Pittsburgh Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Lions than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Detroit Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Steelers than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pittsburgh Steelers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Detroit Lions - Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 49.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 3)
05:39, Boswell C. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (10 - 7)
04:47, Bates J. (Field Goal),
13:05, TeSlaa I. (Touchdown),
13:05, Bates J. (Extra Point),
14:58, Gainwell K. (Touchdown),
14:58, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 2)
05:13, (Safety),
4th Quarter (14 - 17)
00:02, Boswell C. (Field Goal),
02:37, Warren J. (Touchdown),
02:37, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
06:21, Raymond K. (Touchdown),
06:21, Bates J. (Extra Point),
08:19, Warren J. (Touchdown),
08:19, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
10:49, Gibbs J. (Touchdown),
10:49, Bates J. (Extra Point),
12:51, Boswell C. (Missed Field Goal),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Detroit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Detroit is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 141:152. (average 20.1:21.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:37. (average 19.5:18.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit Lions
NFL
14.12.25	Los Angeles Rams - Detroit Lions	41:34 ✺
04.12.25	Detroit Lions - Dallas Cowboys	44:30 ✺
27.11.25	Detroit Lions - Green Bay Packers	24:31 ✺
23.11.25	Detroit Lions - New York Giants	34:27 OT ✺
16.11.25	Philadelphia Eagles - Detroit Lions	16:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
15.12.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Miami Dolphins	28:15 ✺
07.12.25	Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers	22:27 ✺
30.11.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Buffalo Bills	7:26 ✺
23.11.25	Chicago Bears - Pittsburgh Steelers	31:28 ✺
16.11.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cincinnati Bengals	34:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
24.08.24	Detroit Lions - Pittsburgh Steelers	24:17
28.08.22	Pittsburgh Steelers - Detroit Lions	19:9
14.11.21	Pittsburgh Steelers - Detroit Lions	16:16 OT
21.08.21	Pittsburgh Steelers - Detroit Lions	26:20
29.10.17	Detroit Lions - Pittsburgh Steelers	15:20
12.08.16	Pittsburgh Steelers - Detroit Lions	17:30
17.11.13	Pittsburgh Steelers - Detroit Lions	37:27

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