Match Info

NFL - Round 14

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Ford Field (Detroit, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 2
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	DAZN 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Detroit Lions		Dallas Cowboys

	1	2
	1.53	2.6	Watch
	1.51	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.74
	1.53	2.46	Watch
	1.53	2.55
	1.5	2.6
	1.52	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	2.58 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit Lions
62.9%

Dallas Cowboys
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Dallas Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Lions than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Detroit Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Cowboys than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dallas Cowboys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.9%	0%	77.1%

Detroit Lions - Dallas Cowboys Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). Dallas will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 63.2% – 91%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 12.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -6.5, OT - Detroit (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 56, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dallas Cowboys will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Dallas (votes: 15 - 93.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:26

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 3)
04:10, Bates J. (Field Goal),
06:48, Aubrey B. (Field Goal),
12:46, Gibbs J. (Touchdown),
12:46, Bates J. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (10 - 6)
05:33, Aubrey B. (Field Goal),
10:33, Montgomery D. (Touchdown),
10:33, Bates J. (Extra Point),
14:05, Aubrey B. (Field Goal),
14:56, Bates J. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 10)
00:46, TeSlaa I. (Touchdown),
00:46, Bates J. (Extra Point),
04:19, Williams J. (Touchdown),
04:19, Aubrey B. (Extra Point),
09:08, Bates J. (Missed Field Goal),
12:06, Aubrey B. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (17 - 11)
03:06, Bates J. (Field Goal),
05:08, Ferguson J. (Two-Point Conversion),
05:08, Flournoy R. (Touchdown),
07:43, Gibbs J. (Touchdown),
07:43, Bates J. (Extra Point),
11:15, Aubrey B. (Field Goal),
12:41, Gibbs J. (Touchdown),
12:41, Bates J. (Extra Point),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Detroit is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 195:210. (average 24.4:26.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:65. (average 29:32.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit Lions
NFL
27.11.25	Detroit Lions - Green Bay Packers	24:31 ✺
23.11.25	Detroit Lions - New York Giants	34:27 OT ✺
16.11.25	Philadelphia Eagles - Detroit Lions	16:9 ✺
09.11.25	Washington Commanders - Detroit Lions	22:44 ✺
02.11.25	Detroit Lions - Minnesota Vikings	24:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- Dallas Cowboys
NFL
27.11.25	Dallas Cowboys - Kansas City Chiefs	31:28 ✺
23.11.25	Dallas Cowboys - Philadelphia Eagles	24:21 ✺
17.11.25	Las Vegas Raiders - Dallas Cowboys	16:33 ✺
03.11.25	Dallas Cowboys - Arizona Cardinals	17:27 ✺
26.10.25	Denver Broncos - Dallas Cowboys	44:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
13.10.24	Dallas Cowboys - Detroit Lions	9:47
30.12.23	Dallas Cowboys - Detroit Lions	20:19
23.10.22	Dallas Cowboys - Detroit Lions	24:6
17.11.19	Detroit Lions - Dallas Cowboys	27:35
30.09.18	Dallas Cowboys - Detroit Lions	26:24
26.12.16	Dallas Cowboys - Detroit Lions	42:21
04.01.15	Dallas Cowboys - Detroit Lions	24:20

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