Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Florida Gators		Kentucky Wildcats

	1	2
	2.15	1.74
	2.15	1.74
	2.02	1.77
	2.15	1.76
	2.12	1.71	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.15	1.74
	2.02	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: SEC Network (Local)

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Current Win Probability

Florida Gators
45.3%

Kentucky Wildcats
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florida Gators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Kentucky Wildcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Gators than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kentucky Wildcats than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Florida Gators - Kentucky Wildcats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 0)
04:33, Smack T. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (24 - 13)
00:47, Smack T. (Field Goal),
02:55, Vandagriff B. (Touchdown),
06:45, Baugh J. (Touchdown),
06:45, Smack T. (Extra Point),
12:50, Baugh J. (Touchdown),
12:50, Smack T. (Extra Point),
13:16, Baugh J. (Touchdown),
13:16, Smack T. (Extra Point),
13:30, Brown B. (Touchdown),
13:30, Raynor A. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 7)
06:26, Wimsatt G. (Touchdown),
06:26, Raynor A. (Extra Point),
11:33, Baugh J. (Touchdown),
11:33, Smack T. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 0)
11:29, Baugh J. (Touchdown),
11:29, Smack T. (Extra Point),
11:37, McClain C. (Touchdown),
11:37, Smack T. (Extra Point),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Florida won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kentucky could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kentucky have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Florida won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 307:217 (average 25.6:18.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Florida won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 185:100 (average 30.8:16.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florida Gators football
NCAA College Football
12.10.24	Tennessee Volunteers - Florida Gators	23:17 OT ✺
05.10.24	Florida Gators - UCF Knights	24:13 ✺
21.09.24	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Florida Gators	28:45 ✺
14.09.24	Florida Gators - Texas A&M Aggies	20:33 ✺
07.09.24	Florida Gators - Samford Bulldogs	45:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW
- Kentucky Wildcats football
NCAA College Football
12.10.24	Kentucky Wildcats - Vanderbilt Commodores	13:20 ✺
28.09.24	Ole Miss Rebels - Kentucky Wildcats	17:20 ✺
21.09.24	Kentucky Wildcats - Ohio Bobcats	41:6 ✺
14.09.24	Kentucky Wildcats - Georgia Bulldogs	12:13 ✺
07.09.24	Kentucky Wildcats - South Carolina Gamecocks	6:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
30.09.23	Kentucky Wildcats - Florida Gators	33:14
10.09.22	Florida Gators - Kentucky Wildcats	16:26
02.10.21	Kentucky Wildcats - Florida Gators	20:13
28.11.20	Florida Gators - Kentucky Wildcats	34:10
14.09.19	Kentucky Wildcats - Florida Gators	21:29
08.09.18	Florida Gators - Kentucky Wildcats	16:27
23.09.17	Kentucky Wildcats - Florida Gators	27:28

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