Match Info

NCAA

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Fresno State Bulldogs		San Diego State Aztecs

	1	2
	2.3	1.65
	2.22	1.63
	2.25	1.69
	2.28	1.58	Watch
	2.26	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.28)	1.63 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fresno State Bulldogs
41.9%

San Diego State Aztecs
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fresno State Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

San Diego State Aztecs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fresno State Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego State Aztecs than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Fresno State Bulldogs - San Diego State Aztecs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego State (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:26

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
11:30, Sutton L. (Touchdown),
11:30, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 6)
02:40, Plascencia G. (Field Goal),
13:27, Plascencia G. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (0 - 10)
01:38, Plascencia G. (Field Goal),
06:14, Letuli T. (Touchdown),
06:14, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fresno State won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Fresno State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Diego State could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that San Diego State will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fresno State won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 258:234. (average 21.5:19.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fresno State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 134:112. (average 22.3:18.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fresno State Bulldogs football
NCAA College Football
10.10.25	Colorado State Rams - Fresno State Bulldogs	49:21 ✺
04.10.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - Nevada Wolf Pack	20:17 ✺
20.09.25	Hawaii Warriors - Fresno State Bulldogs	21:23 ✺
13.09.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - Southern University Jaguars	56:7 ✺
06.09.25	Oregon State Beavers - Fresno State Bulldogs	27:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW
- San Diego State Aztecs football
NCAA College Football
11.10.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs	10:44 ✺
03.10.25	San Diego State Aztecs - Colorado State Rams	45:24 ✺
27.09.25	Northern Illinois Huskies - San Diego State Aztecs	3:6 ✺
20.09.25	San Diego State Aztecs - California Golden Bears	34:0 ✺
06.09.25	Washington State Cougars - San Diego State Aztecs	36:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
25.11.23	San Diego State Aztecs - Fresno State Bulldogs	33:18
29.10.22	Fresno State Bulldogs - San Diego State Aztecs	32:28
30.10.21	San Diego State Aztecs - Fresno State Bulldogs	20:30
27.11.20	Fresno State Bulldogs - San Diego State Aztecs	Canceled
15.11.19	San Diego State Aztecs - Fresno State Bulldogs	17:7
17.11.18	Fresno State Bulldogs - San Diego State Aztecs	23:14
21.10.17	San Diego State Aztecs - Fresno State Bulldogs	3:27

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