The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nevada Wolf Pack 23.8%
San Diego State Aztecs 76.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
66.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
65.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nevada Wolf Pack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nevada Wolf Pack's form might have worsened.
San Diego State Aztecs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Diego State Aztecs's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevada Wolf Pack than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nevada Wolf Pack, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego State Aztecs than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Diego State Aztecs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:25
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (0 - 14)
00:59, Napier J. (Touchdown),
00:59, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
07:49, Johnson C. (Touchdown),
07:49, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 21)
00:01, Washington C. (Touchdown),
00:01, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
05:55, Bostick J. (Touchdown),
05:55, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
13:14, Sutton L. (Touchdown),
13:14, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 9)
04:11, Plascencia G. (Field Goal),
07:55, Plascencia G. (Field Goal),
12:57, Plascencia G. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (10 - 0)
02:10, McFadden J. (Field Goal),
12:28, Brown M. (Touchdown),
12:28, Jones C. (Extra Point),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevada won 3.
Recent form of Nevada has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Diego State is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
San Diego State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, San Diego State is a strong favorite.
We predict that San Diego State will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nevada won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 270:327. (average 22.5:27.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Nevada won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 145:167. (average 24.2:27.8).
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