Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Fresno State Bulldogs		San Jose State Spartans

	1	2
	1.44	2.85
	1.47	2.75
	1.42	2.82
	1.4	3.08
	1.4	2.94	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.85
	1.42	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)	2.86 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fresno State Bulldogs
66.7%

San Jose State Spartans
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fresno State Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

San Jose State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fresno State Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose State Spartans than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Fresno State Bulldogs - San Jose State Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 7)
00:56, Nash N. (Touchdown),
00:56, Halvorsen K. (Extra Point),
05:12, Lynch D. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (17 - 0)
00:43, Gilliam E. (Touchdown),
00:43, Lynch D. (Extra Point),
03:46, Moss J. (Touchdown),
03:46, Lynch D. (Extra Point),
12:41, Lynch D. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
03:57, Dalena M. (Touchdown),
03:57, Lynch D. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (6 - 3)
00:25, Moss J. (Touchdown),
09:52, Halvorsen K. (Field Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fresno State won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

San Jose State could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fresno State will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Fresno State won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 276:252 (average 23:21).

Including matches at home between the teams Fresno State won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 100:63 (average 20:12.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fresno State Bulldogs football
NCAA College Football
18.10.24	Nevada Wolf Pack - Fresno State Bulldogs	21:24 ✺
12.10.24	Fresno State Bulldogs - Washington State Cougars	17:25 ✺
28.09.24	UNLV Rebels - Fresno State Bulldogs	59:14 ✺
21.09.24	New Mexico Lobos - Fresno State Bulldogs	21:38 ✺
14.09.24	Fresno State Bulldogs - New Mexico State Aggies	48:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWW
- San Jose State Spartans football
NCAA College Football
19.10.24	San Jose State Spartans - Wyoming Cowboys	24:14 ✺
12.10.24	Colorado State Rams - San Jose State Spartans	31:24 ✺
05.10.24	San Jose State Spartans - Nevada Wolf Pack	35:31 ✺
20.09.24	Washington State Cougars - San Jose State Spartans	54:52 OT ✺
14.09.24	San Jose State Spartans - Kennesaw State Owls	31:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
11.11.23	San Jose State Spartans - Fresno State Bulldogs	42:18
15.10.22	Fresno State Bulldogs - San Jose State Spartans	17:10
25.11.21	San Jose State Spartans - Fresno State Bulldogs	9:40
30.11.19	San Jose State Spartans - Fresno State Bulldogs	17:16
24.11.18	Fresno State Bulldogs - San Jose State Spartans	31:13
07.10.17	San Jose State Spartans - Fresno State Bulldogs	10:27
26.11.16	Fresno State Bulldogs - San Jose State Spartans	14:16

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