Match Info

USA: USFL - ROUND 6

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Houston Gamblers		New Jersey Generals

	1	2
	2.8	1.45
	2.85	1.44
	3.05	1.41
	2.62	1.44
	2.65	1.48
	3	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.01)	1.44 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Gamblers
33.7%

New Jersey Generals
66.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Gamblers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Gamblers's form might have worsened.

New Jersey Generals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New Jersey Generals's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Gamblers than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Gamblers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Jersey Generals than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New Jersey Generals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Houston Gamblers - New Jersey Generals Predictions

Users Predictions: Houston Gamblers will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:27

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Houston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently New Jersey have a series of guest games.

New Jersey will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Houston won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Gamblers
USFL
13.05.23	Birmingham Stallions - Houston Gamblers	20:27 ✺
06.05.23	Philadelphia Stars - Houston Gamblers	16:41 ✺
29.04.23	Houston Gamblers - Memphis Showboats	30:26 ✺
22.04.23	New Orleans Breakers - Houston Gamblers	38:31 ✺
16.04.23	Houston Gamblers - Michigan Panthers	13:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLL
- New Jersey Generals
USFL
14.05.23	Philadelphia Stars - New Jersey Generals	24:21 ✺
07.05.23	New Jersey Generals - New Orleans Breakers	17:20 ✺
30.04.23	Michigan Panthers - New Jersey Generals	13:28 ✺
23.04.23	Pittsburgh Maulers - New Jersey Generals	3:20 ✺
15.04.23	Birmingham Stallions - New Jersey Generals	27:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

USFL
22.05.22	New Jersey Generals - Houston Gamblers	26:25

Houston Gamblers - New Jersey Generals