Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Illinois Fighting Illini		Michigan Wolverines

	1	2
	2.75	1.48
	2.6	1.53
	2.68	1.46	Watch
	2.83	1.47
	2.74	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.75	1.48
	2.68	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.1)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illinois Fighting Illini
35.2%

Michigan Wolverines
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illinois Fighting Illini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illinois Fighting Illini's form might have worsened.

Michigan Wolverines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michigan Wolverines's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illinois Fighting Illini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan Wolverines than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michigan Wolverines, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan Wolverines Predictions

Users Predictions: Illinois Fighting Illini will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 0)
02:53, Olano D. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (10 - 7)
03:25, Olano D. (Field Goal),
07:07, Arkin T. (Touchdown),
07:07, Olano D. (Extra Point),
13:20, Mullings K. (Touchdown),
13:20, Zvada D. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (8 - 0)
05:44, Altmyer L. (Touchdown),
05:44, Franklin Z. (Two-Point Conversion),
4th Quarter (0 - 0)

Preview

Illinois is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Michigan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Illinois could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Michigan have a series of home games.

Michigan will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Illinois won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 50:147 (average 10:29.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Illinois won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illinois Fighting Illini football
NCAA College Football
12.10.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Purdue Boilermakers	50:49 OT ✺
28.09.24	Penn State Nittany Lions - Illinois Fighting Illini	21:7 ✺
20.09.24	Nebraska Cornhuskers - Illinois Fighting Illini	24:31 OT ✺
14.09.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Central Michigan Chippewas	30:9 ✺
07.09.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Kansas Jayhawks	23:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW
- Michigan Wolverines football
NCAA College Football
05.10.24	Washington Huskies - Michigan Wolverines	27:17 ✺
28.09.24	Michigan Wolverines - Minnesota Golden Gophers	27:24 ✺
21.09.24	Michigan Wolverines - USC Trojans	27:24 ✺
14.09.24	Michigan Wolverines - Arkansas State Red Wolves	28:18 ✺
07.09.24	Michigan Wolverines - Texas Longhorns	12:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
19.11.22	Michigan Wolverines - Illinois Fighting Illini	19:17
12.10.19	Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan Wolverines	25:42
22.10.16	Michigan Wolverines - Illinois Fighting Illini	41:8
13.10.12	Michigan Wolverines - Illinois Fighting Illini	45:0
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.12	Michigan Wolverines - Illinois Fighting Illini	N/A

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