Match Info

NCAA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 1
Hungary	Arena 4


	Indiana Hoosiers		Alabama Crimson Tide

	1	2
	1.37	3.2
	1.37	2.98
	1.39	3.05
	1.39	3.01	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.4	3.05
	1.36	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 (1.37)	3.08 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indiana Hoosiers
69.2%

Alabama Crimson Tide
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indiana Hoosiers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Alabama Crimson Tide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indiana Hoosiers than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alabama Crimson Tide than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Indiana Hoosiers - Alabama Crimson Tide Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Indiana will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Alabama will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Indiana: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 0)
2nd Quarter (17 - 0)
00:03, Radicic N. (Field Goal),
04:11, Becker C. (Touchdown),
04:11, Radicic N. (Extra Point),
14:43, Cooper O. (Touchdown),
14:43, Radicic N. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 3)
07:14, Sarratt E. (Touchdown),
07:14, Radicic N. (Extra Point),
12:16, Talty C. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (14 - 0)
00:39, Black K. (Touchdown),
00:39, Radicic N. (Extra Point),
04:27, Hemby R. (Touchdown),
04:27, Radicic N. (Extra Point),

Preview

Indiana has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Alabama has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alabama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Indiana has had a series of away games.

In this match, Indiana is the team to beat.

We predict that Indiana will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of NCAA College Football for now

Alabama: 4.7% Indiana: 4.13%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indiana Hoosiers football
NCAA College Football
06.12.25	Ohio State Buckeyes - Indiana Hoosiers	10:13 ✺
28.11.25	Purdue Boilermakers - Indiana Hoosiers	3:56 ✺
15.11.25	Indiana Hoosiers - Wisconsin Badgers	31:7 ✺
08.11.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Indiana Hoosiers	24:27 ✺
01.11.25	Maryland Terrapins - Indiana Hoosiers	10:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW
- Alabama Crimson Tide football
NCAA College Football
19.12.25	Oklahoma Sooners - Alabama Crimson Tide	24:34 ✺
06.12.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - Georgia Bulldogs	7:28 ✺
29.11.25	Auburn Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide	20:27 ✺
22.11.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - Eastern Illinois Panthers	56:0
15.11.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - Oklahoma Sooners	21:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWL

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