Match Info

NCAA - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: NCAA 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	22:00	Disney+
Brazil	22:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Chile	22:00	Disney+
Colombia	20:00	Disney+
Croatia	02:00	SportKlub 1
Denmark	02:00	DAZN
Finland	03:00	DAZN
France	02:00	beIN Sports MAX 4
Hungary	02:00	Arena 4
Mexico	19:00	Disney+
Peru	20:00	Disney+
Uruguay	22:00	Disney+
Venezuela	21:00	Disney+


	Oklahoma Sooners		Alabama Crimson Tide

	1	2
	1.71	2.2
	1.72	2.07
	1.73	2.2
	1.77	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.7	2.08
	1.71	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.89)	2.1 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oklahoma Sooners
54.9%

Alabama Crimson Tide
45.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oklahoma Sooners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Alabama Crimson Tide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oklahoma Sooners than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oklahoma Sooners that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alabama Crimson Tide than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alabama Crimson Tide could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Oklahoma Sooners - Alabama Crimson Tide Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oklahoma will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Alabama will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oklahoma: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Oklahoma (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Oklahoma Sooners will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Oklahoma (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 0)
09:31, Mateer J. (Touchdown),
09:31, Sandell T. (Extra Point),
14:15, Sandell T. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (7 - 17)
04:09, Sategna I. (Touchdown),
04:09, Sandell T. (Extra Point),
08:08, Brooks L. (Touchdown),
08:08, Talty C. (Extra Point),
12:52, Talty C. (Field Goal),
13:42, Brown Z. (Touchdown),
13:42, Talty C. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 10)
03:39, Brooks L. (Touchdown),
03:39, Talty C. (Extra Point),
10:30, Talty C. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (7 - 7)
00:15, Burks D. (Touchdown),
00:15, Sandell T. (Extra Point),
07:36, Hill D. (Touchdown),
07:36, Talty C. (Extra Point),

Preview

Oklahoma is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Alabama has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oklahoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Alabama has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oklahoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 126:100. (average 31.5:25).

Including home match between the teams, Oklahoma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oklahoma Sooners football
NCAA College Football
29.11.25	Oklahoma Sooners - LSU Tigers	17:13 ✺
22.11.25	Oklahoma Sooners - Missouri Tigers	17:6 ✺
15.11.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - Oklahoma Sooners	21:23 ✺
01.11.25	Tennessee Volunteers - Oklahoma Sooners	27:33 ✺
25.10.25	Oklahoma Sooners - Ole Miss Rebels	26:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL
- Alabama Crimson Tide football
NCAA College Football
06.12.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - Georgia Bulldogs	7:28 ✺
29.11.25	Auburn Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide	20:27 ✺
22.11.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - Eastern Illinois Panthers	56:0
15.11.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - Oklahoma Sooners	21:23 ✺
08.11.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - LSU Tigers	20:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
15.11.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - Oklahoma Sooners	21:23
23.11.24	Oklahoma Sooners - Alabama Crimson Tide	24:3
29.12.18	Alabama Crimson Tide - Oklahoma Sooners	45:34
02.01.14	Alabama Crimson Tide - Oklahoma Sooners	31:45

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