The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Iowa Hawkeyes 57.4%
Penn State Nittany Lions 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
46.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
50.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iowa Hawkeyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Penn State Nittany Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iowa Hawkeyes than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iowa Hawkeyes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penn State Nittany Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Iowa Hawkeyes - Penn State Nittany Lions Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Penn State (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -2.5, OT - Iowa (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Iowa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Penn State (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:20
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (3 - 7)
06:15, Allen K. (Touchdown),
06:15, Barker R. (Extra Point),
10:36, Stevens D. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
13:46, Gronowski M. (Touchdown),
13:46, Stevens D. (Extra Point),
15:00, Washington E. (Touchdown),
15:00, Barker R. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (6 - 7)
05:35, Allen K. (Touchdown),
05:35, Barker R. (Extra Point),
10:41, Gronowski M. (Touchdown),
4th Quarter (9 - 3)
01:43, Stevens D. (Field Goal),
09:04, Barker R. (Field Goal),
11:06, Wetjen K. (Touchdown),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Iowa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Penn State has had a series of home games.
Iowa might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 147:219. (average 14.7:21.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Iowa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 68:96. (average 13.6:19.2).