Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Iowa Hawkeyes		Purdue Boilermakers

	1	2
	1.74	2.15
	1.73	2.15
	1.74	2.15	Watch
	1.81	2.09
	1.7	2.05
	1.77	2.06
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.56)	2.1 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iowa Hawkeyes
54.6%

Purdue Boilermakers
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iowa Hawkeyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iowa Hawkeyes's form might have worsened.

Purdue Boilermakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Purdue Boilermakers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iowa Hawkeyes than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iowa Hawkeyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Purdue Boilermakers than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Purdue Boilermakers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Iowa Hawkeyes - Purdue Boilermakers Predictions

Users Predictions: Iowa Hawkeyes will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:18

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iowa won 2.

Iowa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Purdue is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Purdue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Purdue have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Iowa to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Iowa won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 303-239.

Including matches at home between the teams Iowa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 112-115.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iowa Hawkeyes football
NCAA College Football
30.09.23	Iowa Hawkeyes - Michigan State Spartans	26:16 ✺
23.09.23	Penn State Nittany Lions - Iowa Hawkeyes	31:0 ✺
16.09.23	Iowa Hawkeyes - Western Michigan Broncos	41:10 ✺
09.09.23	Iowa State Cyclones - Iowa Hawkeyes	13:20 ✺
02.09.23	Iowa Hawkeyes - Utah State Aggies	24:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- Purdue Boilermakers football
NCAA College Football
30.09.23	Purdue Boilermakers - Illinois Fighting Illini	44:19 ✺
22.09.23	Purdue Boilermakers - Wisconsin Badgers	17:38 ✺
16.09.23	Purdue Boilermakers - Syracuse Orange	20:35 ✺
09.09.23	Virginia Tech Hokies - Purdue Boilermakers	17:24 ✺
02.09.23	Purdue Boilermakers - Fresno State Bulldogs	35:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
05.11.22	Purdue Boilermakers - Iowa Hawkeyes	3:24
16.10.21	Iowa Hawkeyes - Purdue Boilermakers	7:24
24.10.20	Purdue Boilermakers - Iowa Hawkeyes	24:20
19.10.19	Iowa Hawkeyes - Purdue Boilermakers	26:20
03.11.18	Purdue Boilermakers - Iowa Hawkeyes	38:36
18.11.17	Iowa Hawkeyes - Purdue Boilermakers	15:24
15.10.16	Purdue Boilermakers - Iowa Hawkeyes	35:49

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