Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Kentucky Wildcats		Auburn Tigers

	1	2
	1.83	2
	1.83	2
	1.84	1.94
	1.88	2
	1.85	1.94	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.83	2
	1.84	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.59)	1.97 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: SEC Network (Local)

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Current Win Probability

Kentucky Wildcats
51.7%

Auburn Tigers
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kentucky Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kentucky Wildcats's form might have worsened.

Auburn Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auburn Tigers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kentucky Wildcats than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kentucky Wildcats, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auburn Tigers than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auburn Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kentucky Wildcats - Auburn Tigers Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kentucky will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 0)
03:32, Raynor A. (Field Goal),
06:36, Wilcox J. (Touchdown),
06:36, Raynor A. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 10)
04:04, Lambert-Smith K. (Touchdown),
04:04, McPherson A. (Extra Point),
11:03, McPherson A. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 7)
07:07, Hunter J. (Touchdown),
07:07, McPherson A. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (0 - 7)
02:49, Hunter J. (Touchdown),
02:49, McPherson A. (Extra Point),

Preview

Recent matches Kentucky is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Auburn is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kentucky could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kentucky won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 40:59 (average 20:29.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Kentucky won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27:30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kentucky Wildcats football
NCAA College Football
19.10.24	Florida Gators - Kentucky Wildcats	48:20 ✺
12.10.24	Kentucky Wildcats - Vanderbilt Commodores	13:20 ✺
28.09.24	Ole Miss Rebels - Kentucky Wildcats	17:20 ✺
21.09.24	Kentucky Wildcats - Ohio Bobcats	41:6 ✺
14.09.24	Kentucky Wildcats - Georgia Bulldogs	12:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWWL
- Auburn Tigers football
NCAA College Football
19.10.24	Missouri Tigers - Auburn Tigers	21:17 ✺
05.10.24	Georgia Bulldogs - Auburn Tigers	31:13 ✺
28.09.24	Auburn Tigers - Oklahoma Sooners	21:27 ✺
21.09.24	Auburn Tigers - Arkansas Razorbacks	14:24 ✺
14.09.24	Auburn Tigers - New Mexico Lobos	45:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
26.09.20	Auburn Tigers - Kentucky Wildcats	29:13
15.10.15	Kentucky Wildcats - Auburn Tigers	27:30

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