Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 3
Hungary	Net4+


	LSU Tigers		Alabama Crimson Tide

	1	2
	2.2	1.71
	2.2	1.7
	2.2	1.68
	2.27	1.69
	2.18	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.2	1.71
	2.2	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.91)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

Watch this match and NCAA College Football with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ABC

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

LSU Tigers
43.5%

Alabama Crimson Tide
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LSU Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LSU Tigers's form might have worsened.

Alabama Crimson Tide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alabama Crimson Tide's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LSU Tigers than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alabama Crimson Tide than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

LSU Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:31

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 14)
04:11, Milroe J. (Touchdown),
04:11, Nicholson G. (Extra Point),
06:00, Ramos D. (Field Goal),
12:54, Haynes J. (Touchdown),
12:54, Nicholson G. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 7)
06:34, Ramos D. (Field Goal),
12:25, Milroe J. (Touchdown),
12:25, Nicholson G. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 7)
09:55, Milroe J. (Touchdown),
09:55, Nicholson G. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (7 - 14)
00:10, Milroe J. (Touchdown),
00:10, Nicholson G. (Extra Point),
12:53, Young R. (Touchdown),
12:57, Nicholson G. (Extra Point),
14:49, Lacy K. (Touchdown),
14:49, Ramos D. (Extra Point),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches LSU won 2.

LSU is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alabama is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches LSU won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 210:361 (average 16.2:27.8).

Including matches at home between the teams LSU won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 79:166 (average 11.3:23.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LSU Tigers football
NCAA College Football
26.10.24	Texas A&M Aggies - LSU Tigers	38:23 ✺
19.10.24	Arkansas Razorbacks - LSU Tigers	10:34 ✺
12.10.24	LSU Tigers - Ole Miss Rebels	29:26 OT ✺
28.09.24	LSU Tigers - South Alabama Jaguars	42:10 ✺
21.09.24	LSU Tigers - UCLA Bruins	34:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW
- Alabama Crimson Tide football
NCAA College Football
26.10.24	Alabama Crimson Tide - Missouri Tigers	34:0 ✺
19.10.24	Tennessee Volunteers - Alabama Crimson Tide	24:17 ✺
12.10.24	Alabama Crimson Tide - South Carolina Gamecocks	27:25 ✺
05.10.24	Vanderbilt Commodores - Alabama Crimson Tide	40:35 ✺
28.09.24	Alabama Crimson Tide - Georgia Bulldogs	41:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
04.11.23	Alabama Crimson Tide - LSU Tigers	42:28
05.11.22	LSU Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide	32:31 OT
06.11.21	Alabama Crimson Tide - LSU Tigers	20:14
05.12.20	LSU Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide	17:55
09.11.19	Alabama Crimson Tide - LSU Tigers	41:46
03.11.18	LSU Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide	0:29
04.11.17	Alabama Crimson Tide - LSU Tigers	24:10

Upcoming Matches