Match Info

NFL - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Allegiant Stadium (Paradise, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Fox Sports 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Las Vegas Raiders		Chicago Bears

	1	2
	1.77	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.05
	1.78	2.21
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.77	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.74)	2.07 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Raiders
53.6%

Chicago Bears
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Chicago Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Raiders than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	0%	65%

Las Vegas Raiders - Chicago Bears Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Chicago will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chicago Bears will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 3)
05:03, Santos C. (Field Goal),
14:52, Jeanty A. (Touchdown),
14:52, Carlson D. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 6)
10:34, Santos C. (Field Goal),
10:57, Jeanty A. (Touchdown),
10:57, Carlson D. (Extra Point),
14:03, Santos C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 7)
03:22, Odunze R. (Touchdown),
03:22, Santos C. (Extra Point),
09:37, Jeanty A. (Touchdown),
09:37, Carlson D. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (3 - 9)
03:18, Santos C. (Field Goal),
08:12, Carlson D. (Field Goal),
13:26, Swift D. (Touchdown),
13:26, Williams C. (2-Point Conversion Failed),
14:22, Carlson D. (Missed Field Goal),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).

Las Vegas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Chicago has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 91:127. (average 18.2:25.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 59:75. (average 19.7:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Raiders
NFL
21.09.25	Washington Commanders - Las Vegas Raiders	41:24 ✺
15.09.25	Las Vegas Raiders - Los Angeles Chargers	9:20 ✺
07.09.25	New England Patriots - Las Vegas Raiders	13:20 ✺
23.08.25	Arizona Cardinals - Las Vegas Raiders	20:10 ✺
16.08.25	Las Vegas Raiders - San Francisco 49ers	19:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Chicago Bears
NFL
21.09.25	Chicago Bears - Dallas Cowboys	31:14 ✺
14.09.25	Detroit Lions - Chicago Bears	52:21 ✺
08.09.25	Chicago Bears - Minnesota Vikings	24:27 ✺
22.08.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Chicago Bears	27:29 ✺
17.08.25	Chicago Bears - Buffalo Bills	38:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
22.10.23	Chicago Bears - Las Vegas Raiders	30:12
10.10.21	Las Vegas Raiders - Chicago Bears	9:20
06.10.19	Las Vegas Raiders - Chicago Bears	24:21
04.10.15	Chicago Bears - Las Vegas Raiders	22:20
23.08.13	Las Vegas Raiders - Chicago Bears	26:34

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