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Current Win Probability
New England Patriots 62.9%
Las Vegas Raiders 37.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Patriots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Las Vegas Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Raiders than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
0%
42.9%
New England Patriots - Las Vegas Raiders Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Las Vegas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +3.5, OT - Las Vegas (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:21
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (14 - 7)
03:37, Douglas D. (Touchdown),
03:37, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
06:41, Bowers B. (Touchdown),
06:41, Gay M. (Extra Point),
13:30, Stevenson R. (Touchdown),
13:30, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 0)
13:04, Gay M. (Missed Field Goal),
14:36, Henry H. (Touchdown),
14:36, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (14 - 3)
02:02, Williams K. (Touchdown),
02:02, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
06:30, Gay M. (Field Goal),
11:50, Maye D. (Touchdown),
11:50, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (10 - 7)
00:48, Borregales A. (Field Goal),
04:11, Laube D. (Touchdown),
04:11, Gay M. (Extra Point),
08:54, Maye D. (Touchdown),
08:54, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Recently, New England has faced a series of away games on the road.
New England is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, New England has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 145:131 (averaging 20.7:18.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for New England against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 65:49 goals (averaging 21.7:16.3 per game).
Outrights of NFL for now
New England Patriots: 3.84% Las Vegas Raiders: 0.62%
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