Match Info

NCAA

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Louisville Cardinals		Kentucky Wildcats

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.88	1.88
	1.98	1.9
	1.50	2.49	Watch
	1.83	1.91	Watch
	1.86	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.47)	2 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville Cardinals
52.2%

Kentucky Wildcats
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Louisville Cardinals's form might have worsened.

Kentucky Wildcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kentucky Wildcats's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville Cardinals than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Louisville Cardinals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kentucky Wildcats than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kentucky Wildcats, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Louisville Cardinals - Kentucky Wildcats Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Louisville will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Kentucky will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kentucky (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
10:16, Moss M. (Touchdown),
10:16, Ranvier C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (13 - 0)
00:04, Ranvier C. (Field Goal),
06:42, Stewart J. (Touchdown),
06:42, Ranvier C. (Extra Point),
13:15, Ranvier C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
06:36, Boykins S. (Touchdown),
06:36, Ranvier C. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 0)
04:38, Collins D. (Touchdown),
04:38, Ranvier C. (Extra Point),
09:37, Skinner J. (Touchdown),
09:37, Ranvier C. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Louisville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Louisville won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 352:380. (average 29.3:31.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Louisville won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 176:241. (average 29.3:40.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville Cardinals football
NCAA College Football
22.11.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Louisville Cardinals	38:6 ✺
14.11.25	Louisville Cardinals - Clemson Tigers	19:20 ✺
08.11.25	Louisville Cardinals - California Golden Bears	26:29 OT ✺
01.11.25	Virginia Tech Hokies - Louisville Cardinals	16:28 ✺
25.10.25	Louisville Cardinals - Boston College Eagles	38:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWW
- Kentucky Wildcats football
NCAA College Football
22.11.25	Vanderbilt Commodores - Kentucky Wildcats	45:17 ✺
15.11.25	Kentucky Wildcats - Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles	42:10 ✺
08.11.25	Kentucky Wildcats - Florida Gators	38:7 ✺
01.11.25	Auburn Tigers - Kentucky Wildcats	3:10 ✺
25.10.25	Kentucky Wildcats - Tennessee Volunteers	34:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
30.11.24	Kentucky Wildcats - Louisville Cardinals	14:41
25.11.23	Louisville Cardinals - Kentucky Wildcats	31:38
26.11.22	Kentucky Wildcats - Louisville Cardinals	26:13
27.11.21	Louisville Cardinals - Kentucky Wildcats	21:52
30.11.19	Kentucky Wildcats - Louisville Cardinals	45:13
24.11.18	Louisville Cardinals - Kentucky Wildcats	10:56
25.11.17	Kentucky Wildcats - Louisville Cardinals	17:44

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