Match Info

NCAA

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	ESPN 2


	Memphis Tigers		Navy Midshipmen

	1	2
	1.54	2.55
	1.51	2.48
	1.57	2.52
	1.50	2.49	Watch
	1.51	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	2.51 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memphis Tigers
62.2%

Navy Midshipmen
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memphis Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Navy Midshipmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis Tigers than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Memphis Tigers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navy Midshipmen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navy Midshipmen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Memphis Tigers - Navy Midshipmen Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Memphis will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Navy will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Navy (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 0)
09:25, Spetic G. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (14 - 14)
02:49, Evans K. (Touchdown),
02:49, Kirkwood N. (Extra Point),
07:32, Adcock M. (Touchdown),
07:32, Spetic G. (Extra Point),
09:47, Tecza A. (Touchdown),
09:47, Kirkwood N. (Extra Point),
13:17, Braham C. (Touchdown),
13:17, Spetic G. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 7)
13:59, Tecza A. (Touchdown),
13:59, Kirkwood N. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (0 - 7)
09:07, Horvath B. (Touchdown),
09:07, Kirkwood N. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Memphis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 288:276. (average 28.8:27.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Memphis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 148:136. (average 29.6:27.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis Tigers football
NCAA College Football
15.11.25	East Carolina Pirates - Memphis Tigers	31:27 ✺
07.11.25	Memphis Tigers - Tulane Green Wave	32:38 ✺
31.10.25	Rice Owls - Memphis Tigers	14:38 ✺
25.10.25	Memphis Tigers - South Florida Bulls	34:31 ✺
18.10.25	UAB Blazers - Memphis Tigers	31:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL
- Navy Midshipmen football
NCAA College Football
15.11.25	Navy Midshipmen - South Florida Bulls	41:38 ✺
08.11.25	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Navy Midshipmen	49:10 ✺
01.11.25	North Texas Mean Green - Navy Midshipmen	31:17 ✺
25.10.25	Navy Midshipmen - Florida Atlantic Owls	42:32 ✺
11.10.25	Temple Owls - Navy Midshipmen	31:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
21.09.24	Navy Midshipmen - Memphis Tigers	56:44
14.09.23	Memphis Tigers - Navy Midshipmen	28:24
10.09.22	Navy Midshipmen - Memphis Tigers	13:37
14.10.21	Memphis Tigers - Navy Midshipmen	35:17
28.11.20	Navy Midshipmen - Memphis Tigers	7:10
26.09.19	Memphis Tigers - Navy Midshipmen	35:23
08.09.18	Navy Midshipmen - Memphis Tigers	22:21

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