Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 8

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Miami Dolphins		Arizona Cardinals

	1	2
	1.49	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.8
	1.48	2.74	Watch
	1.48	2.82
	1.48	2.66	Watch
	1.48	2.8
	1.49	2.7
	1.48	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.65)	2.75 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX (KMSB-Tuscon, AZ)

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Current Win Probability

Miami Dolphins
65%

Arizona Cardinals
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Dolphins's performance.

Arizona Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arizona Cardinals might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Dolphins than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Dolphins that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona Cardinals than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arizona Cardinals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Miami Dolphins - Arizona Cardinals Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Arizona will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 0)
04:45, Mostert R. (Touchdown),
04:45, Sanders J. (Extra Point),
13:39, Sanders J. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (3 - 7)
03:32, Wilson M. (Touchdown),
03:32, Ryland C. (Extra Point),
14:42, Sanders J. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 11)
03:12, Ryland C. (Field Goal),
06:29, Achane D. (Touchdown),
06:29, Sanders J. (Extra Point),
08:45, (Safety),
13:01, Harrison Jr. M. (Touchdown),
13:01, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
4th Quarter (7 - 10)
02:38, Mostert R. (Touchdown),
02:38, Sanders J. (Extra Point),
06:13, Conner J. (Touchdown),
06:13, Ryland C. (Extra Point),
15:00, Ryland C. (Field Goal),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

Miami is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arizona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arizona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Miami will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Miami won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 81:78 (average 27:26).

Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 26:23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Dolphins
NFL
20.10.24	Indianapolis Colts - Miami Dolphins	16:10 ✺
06.10.24	New England Patriots - Miami Dolphins	10:15 ✺
30.09.24	Miami Dolphins - Tennessee Titans	12:31 ✺
22.09.24	Seattle Seahawks - Miami Dolphins	24:3 ✺
12.09.24	Miami Dolphins - Buffalo Bills	10:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- Arizona Cardinals
NFL
21.10.24	Arizona Cardinals - Los Angeles Chargers	17:15 ✺
13.10.24	Green Bay Packers - Arizona Cardinals	34:13 ✺
06.10.24	San Francisco 49ers - Arizona Cardinals	23:24 ✺
29.09.24	Arizona Cardinals - Washington Commanders	14:42 ✺
22.09.24	Arizona Cardinals - Detroit Lions	13:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
08.11.20	Arizona Cardinals - Miami Dolphins	31:34
11.12.16	Miami Dolphins - Arizona Cardinals	26:23
30.09.12	Arizona Cardinals - Miami Dolphins	24:21 OT

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