Match Info

NFL - Round 2

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Miami Dolphins		New England Patriots

	1	2
	1.74	2.15	Watch
	1.77	2.1
	1.75	2.07	Watch
	1.76	2.17
	2.02	1.74	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.71	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.66)	2.09 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Dolphins
54.2%

New England Patriots
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

New England Patriots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Miami Dolphins - New England Patriots Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). New England will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 38.6% – 78%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 3 - 37.5%). New England (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Miami (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 4 - 44.4%). New England (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 12)
05:31, Hollins M. (Touchdown),
05:31, Borregales A. (Missed Extra Point),
14:11, Boutte K. (Touchdown),
14:11, Borregales A. (Missed Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 3)
03:41, Waddle J. (Touchdown),
03:41, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
13:02, Borregales A. (Field Goal),
14:27, Achane D. (Touchdown),
14:27, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (6 - 8)
04:15, Patterson R. (Field Goal),
11:19, Patterson R. (Field Goal),
14:54, Maye D. (Touchdown),
14:54, Stevenson R. (Two-Point Conversion),
4th Quarter (7 - 10)
07:42, Washington M. (Touchdown),
07:42, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
07:54, Gibson A. (Touchdown),
07:54, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
13:09, Borregales A. (Field Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 4.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 405:467. (average 20.3:23.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 235:216. (average 23.5:21.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Dolphins
NFL
07.09.25	Indianapolis Colts - Miami Dolphins	33:8 ✺
23.08.25	Miami Dolphins - Jacksonville Jaguars	14:6 ✺
16.08.25	Detroit Lions - Miami Dolphins	17:24 ✺
10.08.25	Chicago Bears - Miami Dolphins	24:24 ✺
05.01.25	New York Jets - Miami Dolphins	32:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWTL
- New England Patriots
NFL
07.09.25	New England Patriots - Las Vegas Raiders	13:20 ✺
21.08.25	New York Giants - New England Patriots	42:10 ✺
16.08.25	Minnesota Vikings - New England Patriots	12:20 ✺
08.08.25	New England Patriots - Washington Commanders	48:18 ✺
05.01.25	New England Patriots - Buffalo Bills	23:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
24.11.24	Miami Dolphins - New England Patriots	34:15
06.10.24	New England Patriots - Miami Dolphins	10:15
29.10.23	Miami Dolphins - New England Patriots	31:17
17.09.23	New England Patriots - Miami Dolphins	17:24
01.01.23	New England Patriots - Miami Dolphins	23:21
11.09.22	Miami Dolphins - New England Patriots	20:7
09.01.22	Miami Dolphins - New England Patriots	33:24

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