Match Info
NFL - Round 4Date: 29 September 2025, MondayLocation: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Australia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 France | beIN Sports 1 |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 World | NFL Game Pass |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Miami Dolphins |
|
New York Jets |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 44.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Miami Dolphins
57.6% | New York Jets
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)New York Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Dolphins than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Jets than the current prediction. (+1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). NY Jets will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 28.1% – 78.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 40%). NY Jets (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +3.5, OT - NY Jets (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +3.5, OT - Miami (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 3 - 33.3%). NY Jets (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:21 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (3 - 0)
- 04:05, Patterson R. (Field Goal),
- 2nd Quarter (7 - 3)
- 05:40, Waller D. (Touchdown),
- 05:40, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
- 14:58, Folk N. (Field Goal),
- 3rd Quarter (14 - 7)
- 03:27, Waller D. (Touchdown),
- 03:27, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
- 05:37, Fields J. (Touchdown),
- 05:37, Folk N. (Extra Point),
- 09:40, Achane D. (Touchdown),
- 09:40, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
- 4th Quarter (3 - 11)
- 01:46, Folk N. (Field Goal),
- 11:24, Patterson R. (Field Goal),
- 13:11, Wilson G. (Touchdown),
- 13:11, Fields J. (Two-Point Conversion),
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 4.In recent matches, Miami has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).NY Jets is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). Miami could have a small edge in this match.There will not play in Miami: Campbell C.
(Injury)
Duck S.
(Ankle Injury)
Jackson A.
(Toe Injury)
Waller D.
(Hip Injury)There are questionable in NY Jets: Carter II M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mason T.
(Ankle Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 455:368. (average 22.8:18.4).Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 239:158. (average 23.9:15.8).
banner
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NFL | | | 05.01.25 | New York Jets - Miami Dolphins | 32:20 | | 08.12.24 | Miami Dolphins - New York Jets | 32:26 OT | | 17.12.23 | Miami Dolphins - New York Jets | 30:0 | | 24.11.23 | New York Jets - Miami Dolphins | 13:34 | | 08.01.23 | Miami Dolphins - New York Jets | 11:6 | | 09.10.22 | New York Jets - Miami Dolphins | 40:17 | | 19.12.21 | Miami Dolphins - New York Jets | 31:24 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Watch
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
