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Current Win Probability
Michigan State Spartans 44%
Illinois Fighting Illini 56%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.3%
57.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
58.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Michigan State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Illinois Fighting Illini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:26
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (0 - 10)
04', (Field Goal),
13', (Touchdown),
13', (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 10)
07', (Touchdown),
07', (Extra Point),
12', (Touchdown),
12', (Extra Point),
15', (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (10 - 3)
06', (Field Goal),
12', (Field Goal),
14', (Touchdown),
14', (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 8)
02', (Touchdown),
02', (Two-Point Conversion),
08', (Touchdown),
08', (Extra Point),
14', (Touchdown),
14', (Extra Point),
Overtime (6 - 7)
01', (Touchdown),
01', (Touchdown),
01', (Extra Point),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Illinois has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Michigan State has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 142:124 (averaging 23.7:20.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Michigan State against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 34:37 goals.
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