Match Info

NCAA

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders		Sam Houston State Bearkats

	1	2
	1.41	3
	1.38	2.93
	1.4	3.02
	1.36	2.98	Watch
	1.37	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)	2.97 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
68.2%

Sam Houston State Bearkats
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sam Houston State Bearkats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sam Houston State Bearkats than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sam Houston State Bearkats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Sam Houston State Bearkats Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Middle Tennessee will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sam Houston State will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 10)
03:56, Pavon C. (Field Goal),
09:38, Reed C. (Touchdown),
09:38, Pavon C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (10 - 0)
05:15, Hunt R. (Touchdown),
05:15, Benedict Z. (Extra Point),
14:41, Hathaway J. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
09:34, Middlebrook J. (Touchdown),
09:34, Hathaway J. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 7)
02:05, Gagliano R. (Touchdown),
02:05, Hathaway J. (Extra Point),
12:50, Gagliano R. (Touchdown),
12:50, Hathaway J. (Extra Point),
14:05, Reed C. (Touchdown),
14:05, Pavon C. (Extra Point),

Preview

Middle Tennessee is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sam Houston State's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Middle Tennessee is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Middle Tennessee won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders football
NCAA College Football
15.11.25	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	42:26 ✺
08.11.25	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Florida International Golden Panthers	30:56 ✺
29.10.25	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Jacksonville State Gamecocks	21:24 ✺
22.10.25	Delaware Fightin Blue Hens - Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	31:28 ✺
08.10.25	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Missouri State Bears	20:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sam Houston State Bearkats football
NCAA College Football
15.11.25	Sam Houston State Bearkats - Delaware Fightin Blue Hens	26:23 ✺
08.11.25	Oregon State Beavers - Sam Houston State Bearkats	17:21 ✺
31.10.25	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs - Sam Houston State Bearkats	55:14 ✺
15.10.25	Sam Houston State Bearkats - UTEP Miners	17:35 ✺
09.10.25	Sam Houston State Bearkats - Jacksonville State Gamecocks	27:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
25.11.23	Sam Houston State Bearkats - Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	23:20

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