Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Navy Midshipmen		East Carolina Pirates

	1	2
	1.74	2.15
	1.73	2.15
	1.74	2.15
	1.81	2.12
	1.81	2.09
	1.7	2.05
	1.83	1.99
	1.71	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.64)	2.1 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 30.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navy Midshipmen
54.4%

East Carolina Pirates
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navy Midshipmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

East Carolina Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navy Midshipmen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Carolina Pirates than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Navy Midshipmen - East Carolina Pirates Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 16:14

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Navy won 4.

Recent matches Navy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

East Carolina is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Navy won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 294-171.

Including matches at home between the teams Navy won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 122-69.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Navy Midshipmen football
NCAA College Football
11.11.23	Navy Midshipmen - UAB Blazers	31:6 ✺
04.11.23	Temple Owls - Navy Midshipmen	32:18 ✺
21.10.23	Navy Midshipmen - Air Force Falcons	6:17 ✺
14.10.23	Charlotte 49ers - Navy Midshipmen	0:14 ✺
07.10.23	Navy Midshipmen - North Texas Mean Green	27:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWW
- East Carolina Pirates football
NCAA College Football
11.11.23	Florida Atlantic Owls - East Carolina Pirates	7:22 ✺
04.11.23	East Carolina Pirates - Tulane Green Wave	10:13 ✺
28.10.23	UT-San Antonio Roadrunners - East Carolina Pirates	41:27 ✺
21.10.23	East Carolina Pirates - Charlotte 49ers	7:10 ✺
12.10.23	East Carolina Pirates - Southern Methodist Mustangs	10:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
24.09.22	East Carolina Pirates - Navy Midshipmen	20:23 OT
20.11.21	Navy Midshipmen - East Carolina Pirates	35:38
17.10.20	East Carolina Pirates - Navy Midshipmen	23:27
14.09.19	Navy Midshipmen - East Carolina Pirates	42:10
19.11.16	East Carolina Pirates - Navy Midshipmen	31:66
19.09.15	Navy Midshipmen - East Carolina Pirates	45:21
27.10.12	East Carolina Pirates - Navy Midshipmen	28:56

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