Match Info

NFL - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	Channel 5, DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	New York Jets		Dallas Cowboys

	1	2
	1.77	2.1	Watch
	2.05	1.8
	1.76	2.01	Watch
	1.78	2.16
	2.30	1.59	Watch
	1.79	2.03
	2.02	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.07)	1.92 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Jets
50%

Dallas Cowboys
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Dallas Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Jets than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Cowboys than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

New York Jets - Dallas Cowboys Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. NY Jets will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Dallas will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 3)
08:17, Folk N. (Field Goal),
10:00, Aubrey B. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (0 - 20)
03:20, Ferguson J. (Touchdown),
03:20, Aubrey B. (Extra Point),
14:03, Williams J. (Touchdown),
14:03, Aubrey B. (Extra Point),
14:45, Ferguson J. (Touchdown),
14:45, Aubrey B. (Missed Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (3 - 7)
10:17, Pickens G. (Touchdown),
10:17, Aubrey B. (Extra Point),
13:59, Folk N. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (16 - 7)
07:04, Beck A. (Touchdown),
07:04, Mason T. (Two-Point Conversion),
10:26, Williams J. (Touchdown),
10:26, Aubrey B. (Extra Point),
13:18, Wilson G. (Touchdown),
13:18, Reynolds J. (Two-Point Conversion),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 13).

NY Jets is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dallas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There are questionable in NY Jets: Carter II M. (Shoulder Injury) Mason T. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, NY Jets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 53:68. (average 17.7:22.7).

Including home match between the teams, NY Jets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Jets
NFL
29.09.25	Miami Dolphins - New York Jets	27:21 ✺
21.09.25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - New York Jets	29:27 ✺
14.09.25	New York Jets - Buffalo Bills	10:30 ✺
07.09.25	New York Jets - Pittsburgh Steelers	32:34 ✺
22.08.25	New York Jets - Philadelphia Eagles	17:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dallas Cowboys
NFL
28.09.25	Dallas Cowboys - Green Bay Packers	40:40 OT ✺
21.09.25	Chicago Bears - Dallas Cowboys	31:14 ✺
14.09.25	Dallas Cowboys - New York Giants	40:37 OT ✺
04.09.25	Philadelphia Eagles - Dallas Cowboys	24:20 ✺
22.08.25	Dallas Cowboys - Atlanta Falcons	31:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
17.09.23	Dallas Cowboys - New York Jets	30:10
13.10.19	New York Jets - Dallas Cowboys	24:22
19.12.15	Dallas Cowboys - New York Jets	16:19

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